La Liga · resolved market

Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9133356227e363d94e5bb2f085c4966ae4c0877276057631d144326d7294c590

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $34,574
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $41,098

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,574 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in La Liga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	45c	5,604$2,501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500.69	4,846	47%2,279 W · 2,567 L	-17.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over	42c	2,500$1,045 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,455	64	68.8%44 W · 20 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	67cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under	26c	2,206$574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$573.55	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over	52c	2,011$1,046 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$965.28	238	59.2%141 W · 97 L	+18.5wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+52.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	48c	1,908$916 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$915.76	631	58%366 W · 265 L	+43.9wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	72c	1,589$1,137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$451.45	648	39.5%256 W · 392 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over	43c	1,570$675 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$894.77	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+24%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Over	75c	1,250$938 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.5	29	69%20 W · 9 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	63cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over	43c	1,163$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$662.79	68	48.5%33 W · 35 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	25c	1,151$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.76	329	45.6%150 W · 179 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over	66c	757.58$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.58	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	55c	694.44$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309.66	1,669	43.8%731 W · 938 L	-22.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under	24c	500.75$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.18	51	19.6%10 W · 41 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over	43c	465.12$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.12	229	39.3%90 W · 139 L	-12.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ff1…c554backed Over	75c	460$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115	58	62.1%36 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eb3…8e52backed Over	70c	428.57$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.57	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	+3.8wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+39.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	52c	421.51$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.97	3,546	42.7%1,514 W · 2,032 L	+28.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa203…11bcbacked Under	39c	400$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked Over	70c	371.43$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.43	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	66cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa233…dfe8backed Under	4c	333.2$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.46	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over	62c	322.58$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.58	223	57%127 W · 96 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	42c	309.63$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.54	931	45.4%423 W · 508 L	-30.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over	75c	281.75$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.5	222	46.8%104 W · 118 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb262…9b98backed Over	61c	255.02$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.46	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	68cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over	43c	234.45$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.64	120	44.2%53 W · 67 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over	42c	199.99$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116	63	50.8%32 W · 31 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	9c	191.01$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.91	633	32.2%204 W · 429 L	-13.7wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over	59c	185$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.85	43	62.8%27 W · 16 L	+3.1wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over	75c	174.91$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.73	79	60.8%48 W · 31 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	63cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdbe…595dbacked Over	75c	167$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.75	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.22per pick	62cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Over	77c	158.8$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.15	108	43.5%47 W · 61 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over	66c	151$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.34	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+3.9wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over	67c	148.51$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.51	41	70.7%29 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	70cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under	25c	147.15$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.79	482	51.2%247 W · 235 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked Over	75c	136.71$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.18	55	61.8%34 W · 21 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	77c	135.34$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.38	735	49.7%365 W · 370 L	+14.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over	75c	133.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.33	136	68.4%93 W · 43 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	68cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over	75c	133.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.33	95	58.9%56 W · 39 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	23c	132.31$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.43	1,267	51.3%650 W · 617 L	+17.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc56…77cdbacked Over	68c	128$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.56	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.9wins	-0.27per pick	70cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Over	70c	123.12$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.63	60	20%12 W · 48 L	-6.0wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over	74c	121$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.46	280	45.4%127 W · 153 L	-11.1wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over	74c	106.36$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.65	943	54.4%513 W · 430 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over	77c	106$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.38	331	61.3%203 W · 128 L	+12.1wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over	75c	100$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	387	48.1%186 W · 201 L	+17.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under	34c	94.12$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	93	36.6%34 W · 59 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over	68c	90.73$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.03	192	58.9%113 W · 79 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Over	73c	80.82$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.82	78	52.6%41 W · 37 L	+5.9wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd71…6714backed Over	75c	80$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	33	72.7%24 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	72cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01dc…183ebacked Over	75c	80$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	64cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24a3…7c66backed Over	57c	75.44$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.44	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	49c	75$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.5	428	58.4%250 W · 178 L	+31.7wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7cea…371bbacked Over	75c	71.61$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.9	6	100%6 W · 0 L	+2.2wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+59.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x64fd…f7aebacked Over	75c	71$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.75	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	-3.2wins	-0.10per pick	70cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over	58c	68.97$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.97	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf804…8028backed Under	33c	60.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over	59c	60.51$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.01	64	56.3%36 W · 28 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over	52c	57.69$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.69	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e79…9076backed Over	61c	57.38$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.38	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Over	58c	56.86$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.86	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaad3…d0d2backed Under	29c	55.17$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-4.5wins	-0.20per pick	46cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over	61c	52.46$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.46	97	40.2%39 W · 58 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Over	49c	51$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.01	88	43.2%38 W · 50 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	25c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	477	49.7%237 W · 240 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over	76c	48.38$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.61	518	51.9%269 W · 249 L	+13.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d0a…50adbacked Over	58c	45$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.9	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	62cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x125c…f50abacked Over	43c	41.86$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.86	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over	62c	40.32$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.32	130	70.8%92 W · 38 L	+9.4wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over	75c	40$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	174	66.1%115 W · 59 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	67cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b85…c314backed Over	75c	39.53$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.88	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-28%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94ab…83f5backed Over	75c	38.67$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.67	48	77.1%37 W · 11 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	73cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked Over	72c	37.51$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.51	113	59.3%67 W · 46 L	+8.5wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under	47c	34$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.98	170	44.1%75 W · 95 L	-7.4wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	59c	33.9$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.9	199	41.7%83 W · 116 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d9e…f53abacked Over	62c	32.02$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.02	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	73c	31$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.37	703	56.2%395 W · 308 L	+26.4wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over	76c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	234	55.1%129 W · 105 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over	57c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.75	74	63.5%47 W · 27 L	+6.6wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Over	70c	28.57$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.57	50	56%28 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b45…9f5bbacked Over	75c	26.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.67	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b7d…9b6cbacked Over	75c	26.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.67	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	75cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed Over	72c	25$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.05	117	69.2%81 W · 36 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	68cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over	43c	25$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.25	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	59c	25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.15	229	50.2%115 W · 114 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over	60c	24.4$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.82	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	62cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9132…6607backed Over	58c	20.69$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.69	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over	58c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.33	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed Over	61c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.8	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Over	73c	17.15$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.63	88	46.6%41 W · 47 L	-11.0wins	-0.12per pick	59cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5this page
Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5Under won
Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5Under won
Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)Elche CF won
Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-2.5)Elche CF won
Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)Deportivo Alavés won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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