TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$823,708
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$828,253

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $823,708 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over46c741,158$340,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340,619.692450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked Under54c395,002$213,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181,700.82742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Under54c200,000$108,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,999.982839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c60,897$34,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,795.092,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under54c27,826$14,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,872.5593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under54c25,995$14,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,957.916347.6%30 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under55c25,638$14,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,421.1796942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under53c10,198$5,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,814.491,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over45c7,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,15020544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over45c7,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,149.9938744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Under54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3002657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb737…98b9backed Over59c3,362$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick67cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under54c1,944$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.249652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over43c1,828$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.141747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69036630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Under50c1,500$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7451442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over44c1,429$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.878251.2%42 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Under60c1,330$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.023964.1%25 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under55c1,123$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.3514142.6%60 W · 81 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007954.4%43 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4505933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4607255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc954…642fbacked Over44c984.09$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-57.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc44…3b40backed Over41c849.03$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.91540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Under55c727.27$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.272391.3%21 W · 2 L+6.4wins+0.28per pick64cpaid+48.8%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xedc6…314abacked Under55c654.55$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.552055%11 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc277…9d94backed Under55c600$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+49.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe21a…88edbacked Under59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.47650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under54c462.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.968757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Over46c431.64$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under53c428.45$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.3291043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over45c405$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.256949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Under56c350$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15433951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked Under27c350$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.52944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Over73c342.54$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.053636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x394a…536ebacked Over45c338.26$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.9830%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under55c337$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.6537250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed Over39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+43.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff8…aa3abacked Over45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13213152.7%69 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde2d…abbabacked Under56c295.03$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.921080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+56.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa52…85b7backed Under52c294$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1404100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9419…a40fbacked Under66c250$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick60cpaid+49.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4752…2a91backed Over41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Under69c227.32$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.473961.5%24 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2969…6d76backed Under45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.221338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011429.8%34 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed Over41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x234e…5399backed Over45c199.42$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.94450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over44c182.65$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3712048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over44c180$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.212253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x780c…7921backed Over46c173.91$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17af…2a45backed Over39c166.67$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over45c160$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.94839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Over50c150$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc36…1b11backed Under61c139.99$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.61668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+30.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xad2f…f350backed Under56c132.14$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.141338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x724f…79ddbacked Under54c132$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ace…07c7backed Under56c126.79$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.792268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.88148.1%39 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.87746.8%36 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over44c119.97$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7912453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over44c115.18$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6811448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under52c111.29$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4220841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef0b…10f5backed Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceda…e67bbacked Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under55c110.67$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1552748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over64c109.03$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.788863.6%56 W · 32 L+16.1wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+41.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504348.8%21 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0499…7066backed Over51c107.96$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9540%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over47c105.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.734235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503330.3%10 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Under53c102.06$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.39754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf056…b5dfbacked Under67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2cc…55a0backed Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43b3…74cfbacked Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over44c99.97$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3222947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Over44c99.56$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.35639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Under60c89.87$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.381850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over44c80.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2416851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c64…c336backed Under57c78.82$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over44c70$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.812454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over40c69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.611546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Over20c68.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.811529.6%34 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb1e…368abacked Under56c66.95$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3038739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc307…bf36backed Under55c62.66$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.48456%47 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.411354%61 W · 52 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.412754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.411655.2%64 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.48550.6%43 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.413650.7%69 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca7…6e6ebacked Under54c59.91$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.54650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Over45c58.69$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.411060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over18c58.05$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.335215.4%8 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-48.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x756d…04a9backed Over44c57.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-41.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd483…6365backed Under55c54.94$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.721353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under44c53$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6846742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.