Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23e161cf432d68c6ba9e55748db833ea2c31ef56d2b734de3938299f65de585c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Udinese Calcioof Como 1907, Udinese Calcio
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Udinese Calcio | 69c | 5,891$4,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.22 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Como 1907 | 26c | 2,160$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.6 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Como 1907 | 52c | 1,000$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…62d3backed Como 1907 | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d2c7backed Como 1907 | 48c | 529.17$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Como 1907 | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Como 1907 | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Como 1907 | 28c | 496.83$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.11 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Udinese Calcio | 72c | 369.44$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.44 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Como 1907 | 46c | 335.41$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.29 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…ec08backed Udinese Calcio | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…54cebacked Como 1907 | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Udinese Calcio | 70c | 160$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Como 1907 | 30c | 160$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed Udinese Calcio | 70c | 159.97$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…cce8backed Como 1907 | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Como 1907 | 30c | 110$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Como 1907 | 30c | 106.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Como 1907 | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Como 1907 | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 124 | 22.6%28 W · 96 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Como 1907 | 30c | 53.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Como 1907 | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Udinese Calcio | 53c | 48.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Como 1907 | 31c | 32.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Udinese Calcio | 72c | 28.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Como 1907 | 50c | 23.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)this page
- Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5Under won
- Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5Under won
- Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.