Serie A · resolved market
Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3fca21700217575d71f757aaebb59ac4d2ceb93065ff31c8fa7d5534207d2ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 8,054$4,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,047.1 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 28c | 4,612$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,298.6 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…98b9backed Over | 71c | 3,536$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Over | 71c | 2,113$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 20 | 90%18 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 77cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 71c | 1,972$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.82 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 1,174$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.55 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 72c | 1,045$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under | 4c | 1,037$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.43 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc277…9d94backed Under | 10c | 976.27$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.83 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed Under | 30c | 802.97$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.29 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 67c | 750$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Over | 63c | 680$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Under | 26c | 600$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 67c | 524.89$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…6f5cbacked Over | 62c | 349.99$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 28c | 327.18$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.9 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 71c | 305$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.5 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 70c | 244$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.8 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 70c | 238$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.6 | 149 | 36.2%54 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 29c | 211$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.81 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed Over | 73c | 150.68$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 75cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 40c | 86.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.39 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…6834backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Under | 25c | 57.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.48 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Over | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Under | 30c | 52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 70c | 43.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Under | 69c | 41.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1be9…73ffbacked Over | 78c | 41.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Over | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb0…b622backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…265ebacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6a…a24abacked Over | 51c | 31.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8039…ac9ebacked Under | 63c | 30.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbf…98b6backed Over | 73c | 29.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 72cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1711…0528backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7db…d69cbacked Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 72c | 27.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 66c | 22.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 73c | 21.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc46d…87d9backed Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5this page
- Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5Under won
- Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)Udinese Calcio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.