Serie A · resolved market
Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20db607f0f6d09249d665c572b6d7716e2eef2526a7d9b6c899baa46b7c710d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33f5…c156backed No | 51c | 13,720$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,720.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…8507backed Yes | 49c | 13,471$6,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 961.58$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.52 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 756.08$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.6 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed No | 59c | 679.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.46 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 52c | 560.33$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.96 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f4f4backed Yes | 49c | 505.61$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 49c | 250.82$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.9 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe78d…355abacked Yes | 36c | 190.06$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 48c | 183.33$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 55c | 171$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Yes | 50c | 128.52$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…cce8backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 50c | 64.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2d…abbabacked Yes | 38c | 48.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…ea19backed Yes | 53c | 36.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…8de5backed No | 64c | 28.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 66c | 15.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +16.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5Under won
- Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5Under won
- Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)Udinese Calcio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.