Serie A · resolved market
Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cf1ba3f74737a022763935ab9fc28de299fdc10ed0834fee988f9b1761117d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 78c | 42,774$33,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,204.47 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 21c | 21,419$4,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,587.77 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Over | 21c | 16,345$3,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,432.42 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 21c | 8,311$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.57 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Under | 80c | 7,515$6,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.11 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 75cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 14c | 1,968$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.67 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 23c | 1,327$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.21 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Under | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed Over | 19c | 1,138$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.57 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 23c | 900$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a94…0f59backed Under | 76c | 419.61$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…a45cbacked Under | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Under | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1d…9fe1backed Over | 16c | 160$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 77c | 151$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfad6…666fbacked Over | 24c | 140$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Under | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Over | 25c | 133.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 74c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa7…2e3cbacked Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5this page
- Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5Under won
- Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5Under won
- Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)Udinese Calcio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.