Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3f72b2e80af9ddb43b74de9828944420090994f48306095b6b69d88dcce7979

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 3, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $188,830
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $217,650

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,830 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd7c1…b554backed Under	0c	60,567$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.9	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	52c	10,000$5,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,800	506	44.3%224 W · 282 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over	52c	10,000$5,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,800	1,006	46.6%469 W · 537 L	-20.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under	48c	10,000$4,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,800	257	52.1%134 W · 123 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Under	48c	8,269$3,969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,968.96	150	49.3%74 W · 76 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…8f58backed Over	52c	7,488$3,894 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,594.3	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	49c	5,702$2,789 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,912.77	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	53c	5,653$2,973 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,680.36	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3158…d469backed Over	52c	4,600$2,392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,208	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Over	49c	4,000$1,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,040	101	48.5%49 W · 52 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under	69c	3,446$2,365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,365.19	386	49%189 W · 197 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	42c	3,266$1,385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,385.12	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	58c	2,991$1,748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,748.2	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over	52c	2,854$1,484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,369.99	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xcc95…c60fbacked Under	48c	2,500$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,199.96	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Under	29c	2,414$692 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$691.91	197	29.4%58 W · 139 L	-9.6wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-23%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Over	52c	2,377$1,237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,139.91	107	37.4%40 W · 67 L	-8.8wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under	48c	2,351$1,127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,127.15	459	36.2%166 W · 293 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Under	27c	2,219$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-3.9wins	-0.18per pick	33cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7cb1…984ebacked Over	73c	2,190$1,599 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$591.3	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under	48c	2,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	330	57%188 W · 142 L	+17.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under	48c	1,951$936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$936.48	722	49.9%360 W · 362 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68db…ee32backed Under	70c	1,924$1,347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,346.82	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over	52c	1,807$940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$867.54	99	58.6%58 W · 41 L	+7.2wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	48c	1,259$603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$602.65	391	56%219 W · 172 L	+12.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	55c	1,140$627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$627	1,004	46.3%465 W · 539 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Over	52c	1,017$529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$488.16	97	63.9%62 W · 35 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	68cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over	52c	961.54$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$461.54	61	45.9%28 W · 33 L	-6.9wins	-0.11per pick	57cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over	51c	899.98$462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$437.99	113	46%52 W · 61 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under	48c	800$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384	369	56.9%210 W · 159 L	+20.6wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4417…01eebacked Over	39c	799.99$314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$486	111	42.3%47 W · 64 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over	78c	784.5$612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.59	252	25%63 W · 189 L	-5.5wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16a6…a0afbacked Under	58c	764.71$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.53	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	53cpaid	-51%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…f35ebacked Under	50c	700.85$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.43	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7fd…6c23backed Over	47c	700$328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$372	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-2.4wins	-0.11per pick	40cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5f9…a28cbacked Over	52c	673.06$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$323.07	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under	49c	663.61$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.17	86	55.8%48 W · 38 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over	41c	599.19$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354.38	241	58.1%140 W · 101 L	+34.1wins	+0.14per pick	44cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xbc44…3b40backed Under	53c	597$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.43	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60d1…0c8fbacked Under	48c	500$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	120	42.5%51 W · 69 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over	47c	499.99$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264.99	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over	52c	472$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.56	86	43%37 W · 49 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over	73c	420.55$307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.55	152	63.2%96 W · 56 L	-8.1wins	-0.05per pick	68cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x68ff…997ebacked Over	48c	416.67$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.67	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Under	48c	416.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	86	62.8%54 W · 32 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7175…08f1backed Under	49c	406$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under	48c	400$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	834	59.4%495 W · 339 L	+25.1wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Over	51c	399.99$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-4.6wins	-0.18per pick	49cpaid	-39%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3a94…0f59backed Under	77c	389.61$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.19per pick	76cpaid	-25%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Over	52c	384.61$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.61	99	49.5%49 W · 50 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over	52c	376.92$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.92	495	44.2%219 W · 276 L	-20.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ff8…aa3abacked Over	52c	350$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over	51c	300$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147	293	43.7%128 W · 165 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under	48c	300$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	655	57.7%378 W · 277 L	+26.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under	48c	300$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	605	57.5%348 W · 257 L	+25.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under	48c	300$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	379	58%220 W · 159 L	+24.9wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4977…8fd6backed Over	52c	300$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144	70	42.9%30 W · 40 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	51c	297$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.12	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over	52c	288.46$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.46	198	26.3%52 W · 146 L	-14.0wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over	46c	271.74$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.74	167	31.7%53 W · 114 L	-18.5wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over	51c	249.44$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.22	607	28%170 W · 437 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Under	49c	243$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.02	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.21per pick	54cpaid	+36.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under	48c	240$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.2	375	57.3%215 W · 160 L	+21.2wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under	48c	240$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.2	351	57.8%203 W · 148 L	+18.1wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over	53c	226.42$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.42	114	48.2%55 W · 59 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under	45c	219.31$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.81	290	41.7%121 W · 169 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf00f…28b4backed Under	49c	204.53$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Over	68c	200$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+3.5wins	+0.18per pick	50cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under	48c	200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	255	53.7%137 W · 118 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under	48c	200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	292	59.2%173 W · 119 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Over	46c	200$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	-3.9wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Over	52c	200$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	77	31.2%24 W · 53 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over	53c	193.38$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.89	180	59.4%107 W · 73 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	63cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed Over	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	48	22.9%11 W · 37 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Over	53c	188.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.68	40	50%20 W · 20 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under	34c	181.72$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.9	577	44.4%256 W · 321 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under	48c	180$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.4	375	54.9%206 W · 169 L	+14.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under	48c	180$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.4	362	59.1%214 W · 148 L	+23.2wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+14%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under	48c	180$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.4	323	57.6%186 W · 137 L	+17.8wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under	48c	180$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.4	815	59%481 W · 334 L	+32.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over	51c	177.28$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.87	420	48.6%204 W · 216 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over	75c	166$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.7	252	56%141 W · 111 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceda…e67bbacked Over	53c	163.51$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.85	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x544e…2d9fbacked Under	49c	162$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.58	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over	52c	160.43$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.01	144	56.3%81 W · 63 L	+13.5wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc316…778dbacked Under	48c	150$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…f21cbacked Over	53c	148.91$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.99	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad2f…f350backed Under	50c	148.22$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Over	75c	133.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.33	73	58.9%43 W · 30 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under	48c	120$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.6	466	60.5%282 W · 184 L	+30.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under	48c	120$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.6	322	55.9%180 W · 142 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under	48c	120$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.6	305	54.8%167 W · 138 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under	48c	120$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.6	254	56.3%143 W · 111 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under	48c	120$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.6	350	56.9%199 W · 151 L	+20.9wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+14%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under	48c	120$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.6	260	58.5%152 W · 108 L	+15.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under	48c	120$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.6	326	56.7%185 W · 141 L	+16.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under	48c	120$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.6	367	58.3%214 W · 153 L	+23.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+15%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under	48c	120$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.6	282	55.7%157 W · 125 L	+8.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under	48c	120$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.6	327	55.7%182 W · 145 L	+13.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under	48c	120$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.6	561	58.6%329 W · 232 L	+29.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5this page
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event