TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$300,069
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$369,984

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $300,069 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc408…c1efbacked Under48c69,163$33,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,671.834951%25 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over52c44,598$22,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,973.671,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Under48c42,530$20,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,113.9916846.4%78 W · 90 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over52c17,500$9,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,069.241,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over52c14,752$7,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,670.4555251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x384c…2f59backed Under45c13,333$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,333.11080%8 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+61%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over54c11,965$6,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,458.454,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Over52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over52c9,164$4,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,74569848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfe3…c693backed Under48c7,066$3,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,674.231747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under47c6,000$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,179.9638434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Over54c5,735$3,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,079.3817055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6001,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Over53c4,231$2,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,242.4520744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over56c4,080$2,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,296.078,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over55c3,830$2,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,106.583,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over52c2,876$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.0965045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Over51c2,768$1,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,411.7912450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c2,446$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.064,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b45…d196backed Over55c2,440$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.6312540.8%51 W · 74 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Over52c2,200$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15418044.4%80 W · 100 L+15.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Over52c2,189$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.3920051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Over54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008756.3%49 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under33c1,550$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.922,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Over56c1,485$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.4811757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under48c1,460$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.1952951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x73f3…0d2cbacked Over55c1,418$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7807054.3%38 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5af4…a7dfbacked Under47c1,362$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.06757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under47c1,300$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.9527246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed Over54c1,286$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc68d…e039backed Over49c1,224$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde6b…fae0backed Under48c1,224$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.71850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over51c1,221$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.7732846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over52c1,206$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.241,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over2c1,172$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5131222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over54c1,047$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.3293148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60018844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52066352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under46c890.42$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.491,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under45c838.36$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.3126839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27b8…043fbacked Over62c806.53$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009861.2%60 W · 38 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under44c759.25$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.191,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over53c754.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over52c720.82$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.832,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under48c703.94$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.058354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over52c659.97$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.1962051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Over6c634.65$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0420353.7%109 W · 94 L+21.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Under48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31244345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under46c581.13$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.041,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under44c573.98$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.7268838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over54c566.83$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.4445251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over50c560$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28011242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under60c552.07$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.631,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f6…6d85backed Under48c520.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.8315252%79 W · 73 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Over52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26010348.5%50 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c485$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.456,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c476.2$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.381,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x683e…3fa9backed Over51c419.41$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3424…8b87backed Under48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.671546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under49c410$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.11,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Under49c400$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20647043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under47c395$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.3556843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under45c393.47$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.4116642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Under48c375$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19518650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under42c366.18$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.1161638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0c3…0230backed Over60c308$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.327545.3%34 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1833…1e48backed Under48c306.25$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.253040%12 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under46c304.49$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.431,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15631354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6abc…bd1bbacked Under49c296.59$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.2614549%71 W · 74 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x332e…df71backed Over53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505048%24 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over58c278.39$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.5137647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over55c275.84$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.7152150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Over53c254.72$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13525850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under47c247.31$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.3810941.3%45 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Over55c218.18$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209438.3%36 W · 58 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over51c212.42$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.23,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3336450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4668…3b66backed Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.334042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3393145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11691050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10437848.9%185 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3048…057fbacked Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10811850.8%60 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Under47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10662347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over59c196.23$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.0523445.7%107 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Under48c191.98$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.832454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008545.9%39 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004334.9%15 W · 28 L-7.9wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-35.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd470…8f99backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013757.7%79 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over56c180.6$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.141,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over50c177.5$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3989850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Over49c170.33$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.461,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Under51c170.33$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.466963.8%44 W · 25 L+9.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over50c170$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over59c170$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.278652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over61c163$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.432,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.