Australian A League · resolved market
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4965d31ec13b121d23b843baca2e9096af213e0cdac4a46948f60cca3957590
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 47c | 1,565$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.22 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 1,018$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.89 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 52c | 896.95$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.84 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 699.2$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.32 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 48c | 633.1$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.79 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…5ddebacked Under | 44c | 574.6$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.6 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef25…c969backed Over | 63c | 551.79$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 55c | 520$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 41c | 451.98$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.17 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Over | 48c | 378.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.63 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…ca27backed Under | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 53c | 363.07$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.53 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 57c | 353.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 59c | 336.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.43 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b89…634ebacked Under | 54c | 290$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 54c | 247.26$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.25 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 55c | 245.45$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.45 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 52c | 233.31$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…a36dbacked Under | 55c | 182.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 52c | 157.81$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…07c7backed Under | 54c | 121.76$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 58c | 120.85$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.81 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Under | 55c | 119.8$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 53c | 114.7$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 48c | 103.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked Over | 33c | 90.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5449…5659backed Under | 56c | 89.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Under | 54c | 81.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 55c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Under | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 55c | 54.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 45c | 52.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +13.1wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 71+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Over | 55c | 41.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…a27cbacked Under | 50c | 40.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Under | 48c | 38.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Over | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 52c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Over | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 45c | 26.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x559d…9bb6backed Over | 47c | 26.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d1…0814backed Under | 77c | 26.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 40c | 25.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 56c | 24.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbce7…407abacked Under | 55c | 24.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e0…b300backed Under | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6f…67a4backed Over | 47c | 23.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a49…ddf5backed Under | 55c | 23.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1f…66c7backed Over | 47c | 22.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e43…3b38backed Under | 55c | 21.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 57c | 21.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Over | 51c | 20.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x061f…52b0backed Under | 55c | 18.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.