Serie A · resolved market

Bologna FC 1909 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc64a2073c7fe1dbbc9faa80489a1bb47fc5ffc6000959ddbfe9c6bfc6d6fe57

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 18, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $190,211
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $214,720

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,211 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Serie A
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over	50c	71,146$35,529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,616.18	24	50%12 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7caf…058bbacked Over	50c	20,000$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,000	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87c0…6660backed Under	0c	18,708$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.17	9	0%0 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under	50c	15,168$7,584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,584	160	46.3%74 W · 86 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under	50c	12,222$6,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,111	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	58cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under	50c	9,301$4,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,650.29	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-4.6wins	-0.21per pick	48cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	50c	8,580$4,291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,291.05	527	48%253 W · 274 L	-35.4wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	50c	7,360$3,667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,667.11	2,538	45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L	+13.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Under	50c	7,000$3,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,500	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under	49c	6,019$2,949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,949.26	79	38%30 W · 49 L	-6.9wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	48c	5,384$2,604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,603.78	1,981	39.8%788 W · 1,193 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,500	99	52.5%52 W · 47 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-5.5wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Under	49c	3,000$1,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,470	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Under	50c	2,878$1,439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,439	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+48.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked Under	1c	2,644$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.42	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over	50c	2,500$1,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,250	372	50.5%188 W · 184 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Under	51c	1,828$924 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$923.76	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.28per pick	61cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	50c	1,343$673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$672.77	985	44.9%442 W · 543 L	-17.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under	4c	1,100$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	74	12.2%9 W · 65 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	+76%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over	58c	1,012$591 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$421.39	35	71.4%25 W · 10 L	+9.1wins	+0.26per pick	46cpaid	+65.9%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over	49c	940.39$461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$479.6	124	52.4%65 W · 59 L	+7.1wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over	57c	884.33$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384.33	75	52%39 W · 36 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x212b…92c3backed Under	49c	820$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.8	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under	50c	800$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	162	51.2%83 W · 79 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	71c	706.09$498 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.95	310	51.6%160 W · 150 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Over	50c	616.43$309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$307.85	31	64.5%20 W · 11 L	+4.3wins	+0.14per pick	51cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over	51c	614.27$313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.99	141	42.6%60 W · 81 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43a4…7170backed Over	51c	596.08$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$292.08	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.8wins	+0.17per pick	47cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x25f6…fcd2backed Over	52c	576.92$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.92	46	71.7%33 W · 13 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	68cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under	28c	565.66$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.88	592	40.7%241 W · 351 L	-15.8wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Over	51c	458.82$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.82	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Under	51c	455.93$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.48	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Over	51c	449.91$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.46	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-24%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92e5…efeebacked Under	49c	443.99$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.56	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under	50c	420$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	255	56.5%144 W · 111 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under	50c	420$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	120	48.3%58 W · 62 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under	50c	420$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	98	26.5%26 W · 72 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over	51c	400$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196	455	47%214 W · 241 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	285	56.1%160 W · 125 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under	51c	397.94$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.95	69	49.3%34 W · 35 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Over	50c	380$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked Under	51c	340$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.4	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-3.0wins	-0.33per pick	55cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under	50c	330$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	158	47.5%75 W · 83 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under	50c	330$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	168	51.2%86 W · 82 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	49c	325.05$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.74	229	47.6%109 W · 120 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over	49c	315.81$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162	120	49.2%59 W · 61 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over	47c	305.43$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.88	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	136	48.5%66 W · 70 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Under	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.19per pick	49cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under	50c	299.1$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.55	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over	64c	277.3$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.43	248	49.2%122 W · 126 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under	50c	250$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	122	53.3%65 W · 57 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under	50c	250$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	284	58.1%165 W · 119 L	+12.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Under	48c	245.1$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.25	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	47c	226.89$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.64	932	52%485 W · 447 L	+11.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x497a…883fbacked Over	66c	220.48$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.48	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.17per pick	62cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under	50c	220$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	141	55.3%78 W · 63 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb8…5466backed Over	46c	213.04$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.04	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under	48c	211.65$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.59	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-2.5wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Under	9c	208.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.68	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+4.3wins	+0.24per pick	10cpaid	+202.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over	49c	200$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	150	42%63 W · 87 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	135	50.4%68 W · 67 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	82	42.7%35 W · 47 L	-7.7wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-23%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over	49c	200$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	63	57.1%36 W · 27 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	154	59.1%91 W · 63 L	+11.2wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f65…cdd3backed Under	50c	200$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-5.1wins	-0.28per pick	56cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+2.8wins	+0.14per pick	51cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Over	49c	192$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.92	26	80.8%21 W · 5 L	+7.9wins	+0.30per pick	50cpaid	+60.6%equal weight	67+0.16 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Under	52c	190.6$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.89	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-5.8wins	-0.17per pick	45cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under	50c	190$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	115	50.4%58 W · 57 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over	53c	188.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.68	114	29.8%34 W · 80 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under	50c	180$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	88	52.3%46 W · 42 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under	50c	180$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	116	55.2%64 W · 52 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under	50c	170$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	111	54.1%60 W · 51 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under	50c	170$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under	50c	170$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	124	53.2%66 W · 58 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under	50c	170$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	109	52.3%57 W · 52 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under	50c	170$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	119	53.8%64 W · 55 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over	51c	162.74$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.74	339	51.6%175 W · 164 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over	74c	162$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.96	42	71.4%30 W · 12 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	66cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under	50c	160$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	114	48.2%55 W · 59 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under	50c	150$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	102	52%53 W · 49 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under	50c	150$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	94	47.9%45 W · 49 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	51c	147.06$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.06	387	39.8%154 W · 233 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1ace…07c7backed Under	49c	144.9$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+3.2wins	+0.14per pick	54cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	32c	140.5$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.43	346	43.4%150 W · 196 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Under	49c	135$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.15	113	49.6%56 W · 57 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Over	52c	126.33$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.65	40	60%24 W · 16 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Under	50c	122$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	72	37.5%27 W · 45 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Under	49c	120$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.8	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-5.9wins	-0.26per pick	52cpaid	-45%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under	50c	120$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	94	45.7%43 W · 51 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under	50c	120$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	115	51.3%59 W · 56 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under	50c	120$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	92	52.2%48 W · 44 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under	50c	120$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	136	50.7%69 W · 67 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under	50c	120$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	123	50.4%62 W · 61 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under	30c	117.94$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.38	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under	37c	115$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.05	88	61.4%54 W · 34 L	+9.6wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Bologna FC 1909 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5this page
Bologna FC 1909 vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Bologna FC 1909 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5Over won
Bologna FC 1909 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5Under won
Bologna FC 1909 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Bologna FC 1909 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event