Serie A · resolved market
Bologna FC 1909 vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9c937c7dbc8a6e75a9c84a142e259fad828f34f5af6d2b5db2bc53caf8bee78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x87c0…6660backed No | 1c | 3,311$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 1,240$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.9 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 59c | 853.76$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.09 | 28 | 89.3%25 W · 3 L | +7.5wins | +0.27per pick | 62cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 752.75$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.84 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 42c | 576.31$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.05 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 58c | 502.47$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.04 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9117…cecabacked Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 42c | 290.63$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.31 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Yes | 56c | 238.7$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.03 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked No | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Yes | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 58c | 172.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 58c | 172.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.34 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Yes | 53c | 170$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 66c | 150.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.93 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 57c | 131.14$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked No | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 46c | 108.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 36c | 105.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Yes | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 53c | 99.96$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 58c | 92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 56c | 79.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 56c | 71.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 43c | 62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed Yes | 56c | 54.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adf…b6b1backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Yes | 55c | 49.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…51f7backed Yes | 42c | 48.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Yes | 67c | 43.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 75c | 41.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2f18backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3094…d467backed No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 56c | 31.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e0…b300backed No | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f5…8797backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Yes | 56c | 26.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Yes | 58c | 25.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 43c | 23.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 73c | 21.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bca…dcaabacked Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked Yes | 60c | 18.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.