TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,381
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,769

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,381 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7087…c61fbacked Under41c10,000$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,90010148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over59c9,122$5,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,381.9219253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87c0…6660backed Over0c6,736$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.480%0 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43a4…7170backed Under49c6,177$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,177.43837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c6,008$2,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,035.926,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…2079backed Over60c4,027$2,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,429.81714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.41per pick55cpaid-74.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over57c2,793$1,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,591.9250644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20013837%51 W · 87 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00045936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over58c1,621$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.441,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Over60c1,597$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9585745.6%26 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd7b…9910backed Over54c1,350$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over60c1,336$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.61,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over24c1,250$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.639929.3%29 W · 70 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under41c1,087$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.432,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Over3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308919.1%17 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under73c952.23$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.271,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under39c936.06$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.2839156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under40c928.98$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.6742048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under68c877.96$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.4210751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Under65c853.85$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.854156.1%23 W · 18 L-5.8wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-20.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006145.9%28 W · 33 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-22.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over25c800$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.654318.6%8 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-12.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over56c800$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44812639.7%50 W · 76 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over58c750$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4355625%14 W · 42 L-9.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-50.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under43c690$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.314456.3%81 W · 63 L+13.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over25c689.95$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.4929343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2588…6b3fbacked Under43c636.77$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.96580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+53.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under42c600$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.2422229.3%65 W · 157 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over58c501.36$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.457544%33 W · 42 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010343.7%45 W · 58 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011448.2%55 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Under43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.12825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-47.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9b6…896ebacked Under79c430.7$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.53666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Over58c405.88$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.412433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1967737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88d5…4af2backed Over60c360.67$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.4933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-42.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1df…16c1backed Over59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-22.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked Over19c313.16$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.312825%7 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-45.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15930149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7fd…6c23backed Under40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-38.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under41c244$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9632037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under41c243$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.3730143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Under43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1147653.9%41 W · 35 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6f1c…dc61backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd829…d60ebacked Over49c189.8$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over30c182.31$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.844,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008743.7%38 W · 49 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over55c175.43$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.493231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-29.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under61c173.3$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2557744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under39c170$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.730554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under41c159.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.239651.5%204 W · 192 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over46c156$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7614845.9%68 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x058a…ed5cbacked Over51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.55632.1%18 W · 38 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over58c143.1$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8349544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over58c129.31$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7535743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under42c129.12$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8927748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ace…07c7backed Under49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.451770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under39c120$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.232158.6%188 W · 133 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under74c116.18$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4929041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under39c109$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.169346.2%43 W · 50 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-11.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Over57c105.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed Under41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597062.9%44 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023220.7%48 W · 184 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05ff…b701backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1163…3642backed Over60c96.18$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.711136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Over31c95.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.714843.8%21 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81a4…da1fbacked Under55c90.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.561553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked Over28c89.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.314323.3%10 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-62.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over59c88$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9272249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb231…0363backed Over26c85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.14233.3%14 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x62cc…f56fbacked Over60c83.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.94047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Over32c80.97$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6512245.1%55 W · 67 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under39c80$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.827661.6%170 W · 106 L+22.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over26c76.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010046%46 W · 54 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5a0…20dabacked Over53c75.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406232.3%20 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over57c71.23$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.655254.5%301 W · 251 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4035134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe860…cdaabacked Over60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406147.5%29 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over53c66.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3516731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Under77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.942147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+36.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f59…3a50backed Over57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.22560%15 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1110…0123backed Over57c59.65$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346553.8%35 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Over57c59.6$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.973735.1%13 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-31.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under39c54.35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1523658.1%137 W · 99 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ed…6d3cbacked Over59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304060%24 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf256…3767backed Under43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick40cpaid+155.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Over60c48.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.183345.5%15 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-25.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259231.5%29 W · 63 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Under43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5118449.5%91 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Under44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4521448.6%104 W · 110 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2528654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x276f…bfb5backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205549.1%27 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbdf2…740bbacked Under41c36.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.592853.6%15 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+63.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x54a6…815cbacked Over40c35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed Under77c34.95$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0411255.4%62 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Over57c34.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8812055%66 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.