Premier League · resolved market
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bccbe8ac2f67da2e30827925ed265619bd96d81f505007e21d0eecf4da096d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 5,961$3,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,947.12 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…a7e0backed Yes | 59c | 2,771$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.83 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…6660backed Yes | 1c | 2,218$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 60c | 1,479$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.01 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 33c | 1,025$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.01 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 759.14$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.4 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 59c | 680$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.2 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 40c | 598.79$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.03 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 41c | 590.27$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.6 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 42c | 587$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.55 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 71c | 500$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.58 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed No | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked No | 50c | 400.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.28 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 43c | 388.87$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.65 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Yes | 59c | 381.36$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 58c | 306.58$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.81 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 40c | 302.49$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.49 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…05ddbacked No | 71c | 266.32$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.23 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Yes | 58c | 230.44$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.66 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 35c | 216.52$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed No | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 42c | 189$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.62 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Yes | 57c | 171.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 248 | 44.4%110 W · 138 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2093…ced6backed No | 77c | 163.68$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 59c | 157$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.88 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 57c | 152$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.13 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed No | 64c | 151.72$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…7693backed No | 41c | 149.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 46c | 148$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…5aeebacked Yes | 60c | 111.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 60c | 110$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed No | 42c | 109.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.52 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7697…b403backed Yes | 39c | 102.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35a9…1124backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Yes | 51c | 89.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f5…8797backed Yes | 59c | 85.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -15.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…9dacbacked Yes | 60c | 77.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…5958backed Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 59c | 65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 67c | 60.59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 55c | 59.22$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…13f9backed Yes | 59c | 50.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf2…740bbacked No | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 42c | 45.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Yes | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 56c | 36.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7de…f267backed Yes | 56c | 35.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.0wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeed6…b4e6backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…eff2backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 67c | 34.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…1975backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb967…4407backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15b9…030bbacked Yes | 56c | 31.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No | 68c | 29.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0375…dd78backed No | 43c | 27.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed No | 42c | 26.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd816…84b9backed Yes | 42c | 24.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed No | 44c | 22.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a6…c0fabacked Yes | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e0…b300backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 59c | 19.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.