Premier League · resolved market
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fa017971faef2ddd40ab4fea59ca74e6a6fe8f0bb298f66997f9067e9a8d736
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Under | 72c | 6,587$4,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.37 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 75cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 37c | 5,176$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.11 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Over | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 33c | 1,999$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.67 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 74c | 1,928$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.31 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 1,289$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.36 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…6660backed Over | 1c | 1,276$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 24c | 1,252$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.23 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 64c | 1,134$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.28 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 37c | 900$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 35c | 855.09$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.33 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…5f54backed Under | 78c | 656.95$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 35c | 619.37$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.28 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 62c | 399.99$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 35c | 397.03$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.13 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb50a…3348backed Over | 37c | 351.19$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.94 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 64c | 310.05$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.37 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Under | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59cf…71dabacked Under | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x89bf…2c66backed Over | 35c | 199.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Over | 13c | 184.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 64c | 160$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 63c | 140.15$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 64c | 119.75$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Over | 13c | 113.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f1…c02dbacked Under | 76c | 98.91$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 63c | 94.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Over | 21c | 80.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Under | 62c | 79.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +5.8wins | +0.26per pick | 55cpaid | +55%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x59f8…853cbacked Under | 63c | 79.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 37c | 75.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 248 | 44.4%110 W · 138 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Over | 24c | 65.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Over | 35c | 57.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2290…eddebacked Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.32per pick | 39cpaid | -58%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…08a6backed Over | 38c | 55.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3af…2c0abacked Under | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 32c | 46.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Over | 23c | 43.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…0c7ebacked Over | 35c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 66c | 37.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 66c | 33.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 65c | 31.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ed…c7d5backed Under | 73c | 27.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Under | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Under | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b86…3010backed Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Under | 64c | 17.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7dc…af80backed Under | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.