Serie A · resolved market
US Cremonese vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbab8885b73f1108d4db4ff1d1ecf67c6cfc3f908df3be5bcc1b5c36b8a77cec2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 61c | 23,098$14,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,997.73 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Under | 60c | 9,497$5,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,843.88 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 60c | 7,500$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.92 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 7,426$2,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,937.05 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 40c | 5,143$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.2 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 39c | 4,048$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.6 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 3,172$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.14 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 5c | 2,900$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.34 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 39c | 1,872$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.82 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Over | 43c | 1,370$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 29c | 1,250$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.76 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 43c | 1,237$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.7 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 41c | 1,216$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.4 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Over | 41c | 1,210$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.09 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…9f72backed Under | 57c | 541$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.63 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 54cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Under | 59c | 510$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 58c | 461.96$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.7 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Over | 35c | 419$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 57c | 399.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Under | 59c | 392.37$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.87 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c37…6072backed Over | 43c | 372.09$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 61c | 368.85$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.85 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 63c | 348.17$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.56 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…ffcabacked Under | 58c | 346$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 40c | 334$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.6 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Over | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 69c | 278.02$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.94 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…6700backed Over | 39c | 266.18$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 59c | 236.52$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.91 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +85%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 62c | 230.13$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.45 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Under | 62c | 201.61$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.61 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Over | 42c | 124.52$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…07c7backed Under | 59c | 122.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 39c | 120$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…f56fbacked Over | 42c | 119.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 40c | 116$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 43c | 109.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 38c | 86.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…2be7backed Over | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…c8c2backed Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 27c | 78.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Over | 25c | 76.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…f3eabacked Under | 62c | 76.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Over | 21c | 70.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 39c | 68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Over | 41c | 60.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked Over | 39c | 59.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 61c | 59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…be15backed Under | 63c | 58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…6ce6backed Under | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed Over | 39c | 46.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…697ebacked Under | 58c | 32.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 62cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…2ddcbacked Over | 38c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…f435backed Over | 43c | 28.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeff5…0952backed Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0747…f5ebbacked Under | 59c | 21.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea0…8f49backed Under | 59c | 20.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Under | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Cremonese vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5this page
- US Cremonese vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- US Cremonese vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- US Cremonese vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Cremonese vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.