Serie A · resolved market
US Cremonese vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0a0f450a1a811f111a748da4ab8ba7b9be961069be5b214a4cc62e7d2d6577b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,214 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 5,523$3,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.55 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 52c | 4,930$2,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545.13 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 2,570$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.45 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 49c | 2,263$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.28 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 9c | 1,249$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.47 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked No | 51c | 1,236$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.64 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e8…b85ebacked Yes | 51c | 968.12$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.74 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed No | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 49c | 519.84$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.32 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 48c | 390$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked No | 48c | 359.62$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 51c | 328.49$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.96 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9117…cecabacked Yes | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 50c | 305$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.67 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb42a…0156backed Yes | 11c | 240.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 49c | 230.56$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.54 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 50c | 223.58$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.35 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 56c | 220.02$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.61 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 52c | 212.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Yes | 52c | 190.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.93 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 53c | 189.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 48c | 185.25$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.33 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 50c | 106.66$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9390…6303backed Yes | 48c | 104.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed No | 51c | 98.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed No | 51c | 75.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No | 48c | 53.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Yes | 27c | 47.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 48c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc377…3e5dbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 49c | 35.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…be15backed No | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…b262backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed No | 51c | 26.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed No | 50c | 26.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed No | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed No | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 51c | 22.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa660…f81abacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed No | 70c | 18.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Cremonese vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- US Cremonese vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- US Cremonese vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- US Cremonese vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Cremonese vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.