Australian A League · resolved market
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58c7e54e9c4c9139b95c5d49279f3fc91dc6c0ba8bef6ddf88c71a705525f6b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Over | 50c | 51,547$25,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,734.59 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 50c | 33,230$16,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,614.86 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Under | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 4,529$2,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,228.26 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 3,449$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.68 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 1,213$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 50c | 1,021$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Over | 42c | 941.41$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b7…dbdabacked Under | 56c | 892.95$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.95 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 65c | 773.56$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 41c | 760.46$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 701.28$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.77 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 37c | 475$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.75 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 63c | 472.69$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 55c | 465.68$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.14 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4466…9ad1backed Under | 58c | 450.23$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…5ddebacked Under | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…d014backed Over | 51c | 349.88$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 40c | 319.32$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 59c | 313.69$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.08 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 66c | 301.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 54c | 299.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 296.39$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.17 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Under | 39c | 256.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +260.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Over | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c3…dedebacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…1cfdbacked Under | 51c | 180$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Under | 56c | 162.14$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.34 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 52c | 137.86$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a53…70a1backed Under | 53c | 130.87$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Under | 54c | 122.81$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 41c | 110.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…34d2backed Under | 64c | 108$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…07f5backed Over | 42c | 103.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Under | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +131.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Over | 66c | 100.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 16c | 99.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…07c7backed Under | 53c | 97.24$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Over | 47c | 90.65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Under | 57c | 72.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11fa…ebf3backed Over | 41c | 71.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 47c | 61.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 39c | 59.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6064…b477backed Under | 58c | 59.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…778dbacked Under | 54c | 56.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 51c | 54.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Over | 49c | 54.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Over | 53c | 47.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f77…41c3backed Under | 66c | 46.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Over | 46c | 43.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb0…3e75backed Over | 48c | 41.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…630cbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f60…f897backed Over | 46c | 37.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Under | 53c | 30.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee5…ac96backed Over | 48c | 29.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 47c | 26.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Over | 40c | 25.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b81…b68bbacked Under | 62c | 23.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Over | 46c | 21.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Under | 53c | 20.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3df0…7eb8backed Over | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 59c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Auckland FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.