Australian A League · resolved market
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Auckland FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x566e802911d8c9a6987d575b01a52ca6b6b4ef23ecef36d2865808f00e650580
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4466…9ad1backed No | 47c | 999.77$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 48c | 288.62$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.08 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed No | 46c | 266.72$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.43 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked No | 47c | 250.63$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 55c | 216$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…1f67backed No | 45c | 210$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 56c | 209$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.04 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad9…6044backed No | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 54c | 185.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 53c | 183.58$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.15 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57c1…be25backed Yes | 55c | 160$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked No | 49c | 155.24$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 148$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.8 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 50c | 126.78$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed No | 48c | 111.04$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.74 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365c…c731backed Yes | 55c | 110$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 49c | 91.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45cd…5285backed Yes | 55c | 65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8918…f4e4backed Yes | 53c | 52.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x265b…74dfbacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…7f3bbacked Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e4…c3d5backed Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 55c | 36.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22c8…819bbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 45c | 29.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e0…b300backed Yes | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Yes | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 45c | 25.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…4cc1backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Auckland FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.