Serie A · resolved market
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf9635fbbc0c4384a19bd340e1cff62be6b7e126402b35ef786fb26d952727f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 7,826$4,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240.48 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 42c | 6,978$2,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,930.7 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 43c | 6,518$2,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,802.23 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 58c | 6,034$3,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.69 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 59c | 4,746$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.76 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +42%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 46c | 3,443$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.8 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Over | 42c | 3,095$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 2,080$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.63 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 57c | 1,441$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.23 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 45c | 1,339$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 28c | 1,249$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.91 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Under | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 57c | 1,200$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073f…ed92backed Over | 42c | 1,095$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 57c | 880$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.4 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd94…c56cbacked Over | 57c | 551.65$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 60c | 542.5$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.02 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 54c | 510.39$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.25 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 43c | 500.95$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.41 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 56c | 428.38$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Under | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5048…4b29backed Over | 43c | 284.55$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 42c | 272$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 41c | 255$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Over | 40c | 252.65$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e60…18dcbacked Over | 40c | 252.13$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.85 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…d15ebacked Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 47c | 223.33$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.73 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +16.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 58c | 210.27$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.31 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 42c | 209.75$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.35 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 50c | 200.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Under | 44c | 200$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.7 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 42c | 192.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 57c | 189.72$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.13 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed Over | 50c | 186.43$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.11 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 56c | 170$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 124 | 53.2%66 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 56c | 160$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 55c | 146.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.34 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +9.1wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea0…8f49backed Under | 58c | 142.02$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 67c | 140.78$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.63 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Over | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 38c | 119.37$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.67 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Over | 42c | 118.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 56c | 115.46$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…2b9cbacked Under | 80c | 86.34$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 18c | 83.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c97…874abacked Under | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 42c | 72.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Over | 42c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 58c | 67.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc377…3e5dbacked Under | 77c | 59.86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 64c | 56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xafdd…ae76backed Under | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 58c | 52.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 31c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 58c | 47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 45c | 46.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Over | 25c | 45.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Under | 57c | 39.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbd…191dbacked Over | 64c | 38.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 42c | 38.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 57c | 36.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2e…f9b8backed Over | 66c | 36.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 58c | 36.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…07c7backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 36c | 32.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 149 | 36.2%54 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec4…58a9backed Under | 63c | 29.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 64c | 27.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c06…dd56backed Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Over | 64c | 17.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5this page
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5Under won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.