Serie A · resolved market
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23a0b10467f082c48f4f51949ae688dbd516bdad3dbb182381956de5dd7d71c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed No | 50c | 1,697$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.06 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +7.9wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 1,585$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.32 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 56c | 903.14$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.66 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 684.5$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.04 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 50c | 540$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 11c | 515.46$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.72 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 60c | 277.57$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.58 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Yes | 50c | 273.56$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.78 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes | 49c | 260$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 52c | 215.8$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 50c | 206$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaa…f662backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked Yes | 56c | 178.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 32c | 155$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd25e…f458backed Yes | 61c | 148.2$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee2…8a14backed No | 53c | 137.26$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 47c | 128.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 50c | 108$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 50c | 100.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7794…52e5backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 55c | 98.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 51c | 98.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…3039backed Yes | 65c | 92.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 49c | 88.06$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0e…1512backed Yes | 49c | 79.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed No | 52c | 69.42$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…2414backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 52c | 48.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…807fbacked No | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed No | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…51a0backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 51c | 39.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 55c | 39.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 50c | 39.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked No | 52c | 38.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…2647backed No | 52c | 33.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 48c | 32.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1931…6fd4backed Yes | 50c | 31.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…65babacked No | 53c | 30.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed No | 52c | 30.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked Yes | 56c | 26.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 68c | 23.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x553e…5526backed Yes | 49c | 20.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed No | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd573…f99ebacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5Under won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5Under won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.