Serie A · resolved market
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68ed03a7bafeed3a40848f9c3798cdddc5030f30c6f867cbe6ed633b8c51eb01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 18,251$4,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,780.69 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 71c | 7,422$5,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,239.63 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 7c | 5,722$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 71c | 3,428$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448.33 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 69c | 2,200$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 75cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 56c | 1,448$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.84 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 31c | 1,261$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.9 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 22c | 994.86$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.09 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 28c | 974.77$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.36 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 44c | 893.17$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.97 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Over | 72c | 873.97$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.58 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 65c | 776.7$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.89 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 78c | 637.98$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 79c | 556.96$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 46c | 477.94$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 30c | 399.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.98 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…576bbacked Over | 61c | 374.29$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e60…18dcbacked Over | 48c | 359.79$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea0…8f49backed Over | 68c | 356.87$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.15 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Over | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 12c | 290.91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 40c | 250.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed Over | 71c | 211.75$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.95 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe66d…97acbacked Over | 70c | 200.23$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Under | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 30c | 172$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 66.2%88 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 70c | 139$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 70c | 129.04$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.33 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 31c | 114.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.34 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 113.26$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.55 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 37c | 109.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec5…6eadbacked Over | 70c | 104.29$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 15c | 100.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.13 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 22c | 83.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb815…342fbacked Under | 21c | 64.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Over | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Under | 32c | 55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 20c | 53.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…7ab1backed Over | 30c | 51.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 39c | 49.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 80c | 48.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…04d0backed Over | 75c | 43.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Over | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Over | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 69c | 26.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…4b49backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1c…c864backed Over | 54c | 23.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5this page
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5Under won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.