Bundesliga · resolved market
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2293c4dc88f5f50d22d4d855b1f7ee705275af6c7df54028f7b6a37aaa98a1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,087 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Over | 57c | 11,364$6,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,477.37 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Over | 55c | 11,361$6,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,248.41 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 43c | 8,076$3,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,583.78 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,382.98 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 55c | 3,000$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.94 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 64c | 2,959$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.18 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Over | 29c | 2,911$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.82 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 56c | 2,274$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.23 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…b299backed Under | 46c | 2,191$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.43 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +108%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 61c | 1,920$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.27 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 55c | 1,820$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 45c | 1,740$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.23 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Over | 11c | 1,490$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.4 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Over | 55c | 1,364$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…ee38backed Over | 41c | 1,151$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 1,112$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.84 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Over | 56c | 999.73$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…95c9backed Over | 34c | 925$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 43c | 924.57$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.84 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5544…802abacked Under | 60c | 898$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…65a5backed Under | 44c | 895.45$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 58c | 866.3$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…23c3backed Over | 39c | 866$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab9…2ff1backed Under | 61c | 818$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 54c | 799.98$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.99 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 54c | 766.65$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.99 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 57c | 750$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50eb…c59fbacked Over | 28c | 749$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9964backed Under | 60c | 716$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…21ecbacked Over | 40c | 716$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e7…9bc7backed Under | 59c | 714$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 55c | 702.42$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.81 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c2…aa71backed Under | 61c | 672$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6578…ba32backed Under | 74c | 656$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…b4eebacked Over | 40c | 650$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…ec08backed Under | 44c | 649.98$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91be…2641backed Under | 60c | 639$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 55c | 616.28$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.95 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef37…f2bcbacked Under | 61c | 577$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a41…1160backed Over | 39c | 545$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…7572backed Under | 61c | 544$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 56c | 539.51$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9da…81d7backed Over | 56c | 537.5$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 55c | 526.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.85 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…0051backed Under | 60c | 512$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf907…e7dbbacked Under | 49c | 492$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 35cpaid | +252%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f3…e6aabacked Over | 40c | 481$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed Under | 72c | 466$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…d40bbacked Over | 33c | 460$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked Under | 74c | 459$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…9ca7backed Over | 27c | 448$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…3796backed Over | 26c | 441$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ad…e59abacked Under | 74c | 406$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bc…43e9backed Under | 67c | 384$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f6…595cbacked Under | 60c | 384$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde45…8238backed Over | 40c | 384$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x465c…6e53backed Under | 59c | 381$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01dd…fb46backed Under | 49c | 381$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Under | 45c | 377.78$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.78 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…91a9backed Under | 73c | 366$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1832…af9ebacked Over | 35c | 359$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e0…a63bbacked Over | 40c | 351$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13f…75cebacked Over | 59c | 341.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…f9d4backed Under | 49c | 338$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…8234backed Over | 26c | 329$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…a1ffbacked Over | 26c | 327$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e5…d252backed Over | 39c | 326$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…bb9cbacked Over | 40c | 326$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6a…21c3backed Over | 39c | 324$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…b2efbacked Over | 39c | 312$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed Under | 56c | 305$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 56c | 302.07$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.16 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 62c | 299.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 43c | 299.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.99 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked Over | 42c | 292$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a6f0backed Under | 58c | 292$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c9…af45backed Over | 39c | 289$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58fe…a8c5backed Under | 61c | 289$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…c83bbacked Over | 40c | 288$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2e…e025backed Under | 72c | 283$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 32c | 282.94$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 43c | 279$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.95 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…e0ecbacked Over | 51c | 273$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…7861backed Under | 59c | 270$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked Over | 41c | 270$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 269.22$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.07 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…ddbcbacked Over | 56c | 268$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.08 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…1146backed Over | 39c | 266$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…293cbacked Under | 60c | 264$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff1…85cdbacked Over | 40c | 264$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 43c | 259.36$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.15 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Over | 58c | 259.13$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 55c | 255.04$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.85 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f404backed Under | 73c | 254$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…8cc1backed Over | 27c | 254$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 4c | 253.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5this page
- Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5Under won
- Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)Hamburger SV won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.