Serie A · resolved market
Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x013e45e226fcb1a16cbcab29bc2179250debcc31cc052473167cf15fe7a1260b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 28,830$17,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,781.14 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Under | 62c | 20,448$12,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,694.77 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 41c | 10,296$4,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,077.43 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 38c | 9,489$3,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,883.47 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 8,222$3,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,055.23 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…ff11backed Under | 62c | 5,517$3,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,395.6 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under | 56c | 2,889$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.1 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 40c | 2,197$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.25 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…f93cbacked Under | 15c | 1,999$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78da…b975backed Under | 61c | 1,126$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 59c | 1,094$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.73 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 41c | 1,002$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.47 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a9…1221backed Under | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 40c | 860$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…2c1cbacked Over | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Under | 16c | 625.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 39c | 511.49$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.08 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 36c | 508.02$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.13 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fd…6c23backed Over | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 6c | 479.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 149 | 36.2%54 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 38c | 403.04$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.18 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…423abacked Under | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…5ddebacked Under | 60c | 390$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 41c | 358.54$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.54 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Over | 40c | 274.88$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.93 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 40c | 271$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.6 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Over | 40c | 249.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.02 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 58c | 237.08$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.05 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 70c | 233.33$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +9.1wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 41c | 212.71$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.33 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 36c | 206.61$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.38 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Under | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Over | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 65c | 184.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.92 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 52c | 177.44$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.65 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Over | 42c | 175.26$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.65 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 60c | 164$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.79 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 42c | 153.48$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.02 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 40c | 148.59$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.15 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e6…3363backed Under | 60c | 140.92$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…1879backed Over | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Under | 36c | 135$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Over | 39c | 127.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.43 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 41c | 121$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.39 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 58c | 118.12$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.51 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…07c7backed Under | 61c | 116.39$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 41c | 114.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 66c | 108.55$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…c3a6backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 60c | 98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Over | 40c | 82.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.18 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Over | 46c | 81.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.04 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 41c | 79.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 60c | 77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Under | 61c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 60c | 65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 41c | 64.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…2146backed Under | 60c | 55.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1d…95debacked Under | 36c | 55.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 39c | 53.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…435fbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…3f67backed Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…7937backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 59c | 47.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5d…20c8backed Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 40c | 44.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 63c | 43.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 42c | 41.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 59c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Under | 60c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 59c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd77…d379backed Under | 63c | 32.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 61c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…d57ebacked Over | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 63c | 28.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 36c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…dc02backed Over | 39c | 27.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Over | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…84efbacked Over | 40c | 26.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Over | 40c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Under | 60c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Under | 61c | 24.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked Under | 47c | 24.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5this page
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5Over won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.