TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,170
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,553

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,170 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c28,830$17,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,781.142,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Under62c20,448$12,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,694.774463.6%28 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over41c10,296$4,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,077.4320544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over38c9,489$3,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,883.479350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over39c8,222$3,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,055.231,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26a6…ff11backed Under62c5,517$3,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,395.61855.6%10 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick71cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under56c2,889$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,630.14139%16 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over40c2,197$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.2545547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7742…f93cbacked Under15c1,999$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.61650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over38c1,500$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93036630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78da…b975backed Under61c1,126$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under59c1,094$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.7398544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over41c1,002$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.477254.2%39 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50a9…1221backed Under59c999.99$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Over40c860$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5161250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x355c…2c1cbacked Over41c731.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Under16c625.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002729.6%8 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over39c511.49$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.085935.6%21 W · 38 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over36c508.02$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.1316842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29511837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7fd…6c23backed Over41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.81631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid+3.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under6c479.76$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7514936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over38c403.04$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.1822947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fff…423abacked Under36c400$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-43.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0146…5ddebacked Under60c390$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2341050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over41c358.54$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.548042.5%34 W · 46 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Over40c274.88$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.93785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+44.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over40c271$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.68744.8%39 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Over40c249.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.025841.4%24 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.94528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.913137.4%49 W · 82 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.93638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over58c237.08$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.0515045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over70c233.33$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703571.4%25 W · 10 L+9.1wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+65.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over41c212.71$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.339826.5%26 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under36c206.61$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3893252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Over40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203050%15 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Under15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307240.3%29 W · 43 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Over39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1227847.4%37 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under65c184.53$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9219542.6%83 W · 112 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over52c177.44$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6559240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over42c175.26$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.654235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over60c164$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7911856.8%67 W · 51 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over42c153.48$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.025752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over40c148.59$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.1533951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27e6…3363backed Under60c140.92$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.55850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbcb…1879backed Over36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.892433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfdc4…63f6backed Under36c135$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.26050%30 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b2d…379dbacked Over39c127.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.432937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Over41c121$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.398444%37 W · 47 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+38.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under58c118.12$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.514727.7%13 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ace…07c7backed Under61c116.39$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over41c114.24$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.438744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over66c108.55$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.998965.2%58 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6312049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a7d…c3a6backed Under60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+44.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598143.2%35 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Under60c98$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.82166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over42c95.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2417538.9%68 W · 107 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd902…d076backed Over40c82.2$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.181741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Over46c81.37$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.043528.6%10 W · 25 L-5.8wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-51.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over41c79.17$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7121650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Under60c77$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.23360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Under61c70$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.72055%11 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+57.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over60c65$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6811460.5%69 W · 45 L+14.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over41c64.39$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.993259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3aa1…2146backed Under60c55.43$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf1d…95debacked Under36c55.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over39c53.23$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2317955.3%99 W · 80 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Over40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304151.2%21 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbac…435fbacked Over40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c90…3f67backed Over42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+30.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe900…7937backed Over42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.621241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6211348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under59c47.4$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1620841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f5d…20c8backed Over65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.15683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over40c44.82$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8916448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over63c43.32$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0291043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Over42c41.51$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.111529.6%34 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x816e…2663backed Under48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191947.4%9 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under59c36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2514452.1%75 W · 69 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed Under60c35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212272.7%16 W · 6 L+4.7wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+74.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under59c34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0624849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd77…d379backed Under63c32.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.431656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over61c32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.646956.5%39 W · 30 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Over54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.78737.9%33 W · 54 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8204…61d9backed Over40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0828…d57ebacked Over65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.54060%24 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under63c28.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1324955%137 W · 112 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Over36c28$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9217142.7%73 W · 98 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b1c…dc02backed Over39c27.69$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.891643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick28cpaid+47.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked Over53c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.584131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6460…84efbacked Over40c26.43$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.961553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f6c…ac71backed Over40c26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e66…921dbacked Under60c26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61450%7 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x694c…eb70backed Over40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Under61c24.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.11850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x27b1…ed2bbacked Under47c24.12$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.43246.9%15 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.