Serie A · resolved market
Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12ea1ec53a372c7b54f5551794ccd4cad66337d7c4ad347bfae8ae815b6f4e75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 52c | 1,754$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.57 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed No | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 48c | 520$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1758…5d73backed Yes | 49c | 469.39$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.39 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 50c | 403.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.54 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 48c | 371.94$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.41 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 48c | 371$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.92 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x195b…c181backed Yes | 49c | 240.46$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 39cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed No | 53c | 228.3$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 49c | 204.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.18 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 133 | 66.2%88 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…2eaabacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…45e7backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…a196backed No | 53c | 177.36$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 176.68$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.34 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed No | 52c | 164.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…7935backed Yes | 48c | 154.17$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae19…9d13backed No | 53c | 128$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked No | 51c | 124.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.74 | 116 | 66.4%77 W · 39 L | +14.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…2414backed Yes | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 52c | 119.68$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.24 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked No | 52c | 116$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 50c | 110.4$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed No | 34c | 105$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 125 | 65.6%82 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed No | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 46c | 96.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 50c | 95.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 48c | 85.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 51c | 83.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed No | 52c | 81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Yes | 48c | 80.32$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.77 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 59c | 74.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 52c | 72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed No | 51c | 66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Yes | 49c | 64.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed No | 51c | 62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked No | 52c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Yes | 48c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcb…4381backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed No | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 53c | 44.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…435fbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Yes | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Yes | 48c | 31.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Yes | 76c | 30.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked No | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed Yes | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Yes | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Yes | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Yes | 48c | 24.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Yes | 48c | 24.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 48cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Yes | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…a0c6backed Yes | 48c | 22.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Yes | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98c5…dd3bbacked Yes | 50c | 20.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889d…e36bbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5Over won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.