Serie A · resolved market
Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1624001311b3d22b698418af2542f40ccab7c9e121fa76f73172c7e120756132
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 68c | 1,307$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.59 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 33c | 999.93$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.98 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 28c | 870.18$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.69 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 67c | 754.57$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.01 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 694.35$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.25 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 33c | 600$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.07 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 64c | 599.99$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 32c | 557.21$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.31 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 36c | 554.07$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.47 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 64c | 537.36$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.45 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 67c | 501.49$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.49 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed Over | 68c | 384.01$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.88 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 30c | 357$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2303…b9a7backed Under | 33c | 304.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 32c | 302.56$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 67c | 301.39$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.46 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 33c | 264.51$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.88 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2c…4568backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 79c | 141.23$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Under | 22c | 130$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…dea9backed Over | 68c | 110.68$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 68c | 97.06$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Over | 67c | 96$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3f…753cbacked Over | 68c | 95.75$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb447…8582backed Over | 67c | 84.84$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…84efbacked Under | 34c | 81.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Over | 68c | 79.01$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4697…d04bbacked Over | 67c | 78.13$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0635…5cb5backed Over | 68c | 77.91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…83ddbacked Under | 37c | 76.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8f…9f44backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0837…620abacked Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9e97backed Over | 68c | 73.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…e35fbacked Over | 68c | 72.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Over | 68c | 71.91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 37c | 48.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 31c | 45.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbd…475fbacked Over | 68c | 44.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…bc38backed Over | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…d45ebacked Over | 65c | 38.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Over | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Over | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 36c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…dc02backed Under | 33c | 32.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…d66abacked Over | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…d57ebacked Over | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeed6…b4e6backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 67c | 24.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2a…4be1backed Over | 67c | 22.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Over | 66c | 19.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Over | 67c | 19.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5this page
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5Over won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.