Fifa International · resolved market
Will South Africa vs. Cameroon end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x675cea469291b5d4cab001aaf2aafc7da5703b64a8b605c282ba1ae9a99d3984
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3608…b13dbacked Yes | 35c | 10,087$3,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,530.53 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 9,297$6,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,253.97 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 5,410$4,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.47 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 3,739$2,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.2 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 36c | 2,500$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.53 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 35c | 2,300$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.78 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 65c | 2,146$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.11 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 1,163$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.23 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 37c | 1,086$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,041$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 176 | 64.8%114 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…edaabacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 8c | 660.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba1…1703backed Yes | 2c | 526.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 67c | 435.7$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.78 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…6602backed Yes | 37c | 410.7$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.31 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 71c | 337.01$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 15c | 333.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +182.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 36c | 333.33$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 65c | 303.45$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.21 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7d8abacked Yes | 36c | 279.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed No | 67c | 212.1$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.29 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 74c | 204.32$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…d802backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d08…763ebacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Yes | 9c | 194$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…1bd3backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 37c | 117.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 35c | 117.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…298cbacked Yes | 26c | 107.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d32…fe50backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 21c | 97.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 34c | 85.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…357dbacked No | 76c | 79.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf808…6e99backed No | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes | 34c | 58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…beaebacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed No | 70c | 56.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…b10abacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…7ec0backed Yes | 34c | 31.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Yes | 35c | 30.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -47%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691e…cbbbbacked Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…3b90backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 139 | 55.4%77 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +11.6wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e7…6031backed No | 79c | 26.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 67c | 24.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed9…c127backed No | 61c | 22.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa02d…2935backed No | 66c | 21.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed No | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed No | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will South Africa vs. Cameroon end in a draw?this page
- Will Cameroon win on 2026-01-04?Yes won
- Will South Africa win on 2026-01-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.