Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ab7768d333d13bccc13dcf50c1cc16a3ae92065d689afd550e8a4acc5def2d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FCof Wolverhampton Wanderers FC, West Ham United FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe916…4563backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 17c | 18,999$3,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,769.3 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 54c | 4,313$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.55 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15c | 226.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.6 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4948…08bdbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7d…eedcbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed West Ham United FC | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2d…abbabacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 16c | 62.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…6602backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2db6…8f12backed West Ham United FC | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)this page
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.