Premier League · resolved market
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92564ebc9fe77a334577ccc0c2222187ebadbb55c34e9610353edd51da61f624
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Over | 46c | 12,502$5,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,716.45 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 4,559$3,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.6 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 3,547$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.76 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 2,403$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.58 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 44c | 1,818$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 57c | 1,701$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.26 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 6c | 1,116$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.11 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 62c | 412.66$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.48 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 56c | 325.04$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.02 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 314.94$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.61 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ad…e4d7backed Under | 58c | 171.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Under | 59c | 170.51$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.91 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 12c | 148.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.86 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +125%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 50c | 100.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Over | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 409 | 42.1%172 W · 237 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…48e4backed Over | 42c | 79.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 61c | 63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Over | 45c | 52.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c1…b554backed Under | 72c | 47.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 59c | 47.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…f3b7backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5f…de56backed Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d40…4e09backed Under | 69c | 33.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b6…2c52backed Under | 60c | 29.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…0ea4backed Under | 70c | 21.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Under | 66c | 15.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.