Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89fc1c90509c932d82de248b9b77cc2935f4fda7d2ad16a697232b825386eed8

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 3, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $66,573
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $79,416

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,573 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1867…92cabacked Under	71c	5,000$3,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,449.99	370	54.9%203 W · 167 L	+15.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over	34c	4,239$1,422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,421.74	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	41c	3,511$1,453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,452.84	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06a8…2927backed Under	56c	3,490$1,943 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,547.33	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.16per pick	39cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3db3…932fbacked Under	63c	3,156$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,155.68	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+2.4wins	+0.29per pick	58cpaid	+47.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3158…d469backed Over	28c	3,060$857 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$856.79	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0d9…da5ebacked Over	80c	2,756$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	17	82.4%14 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	74cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under	63c	2,352$1,482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$870.24	196	52%102 W · 94 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	34c	2,034$699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$698.67	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over	28c	2,013$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563.64	1,006	46.6%469 W · 537 L	-20.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	28c	2,000$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	506	44.3%224 W · 282 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under	71c	1,400$994 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$406	409	53.3%218 W · 191 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed Under	68c	1,123$760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$363.07	77	59.7%46 W · 31 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	66cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under	71c	1,000$710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290	266	51.1%136 W · 130 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under	20c	780.24$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$624.19	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	35c	763.76$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.92	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Over	26c	700$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182	294	27.9%82 W · 212 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	71c	599.97$424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.99	391	56%219 W · 172 L	+12.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1da…0370backed Under	76c	526.32$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.32	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under	75c	500$375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125	108	74.1%80 W · 28 L	+6.9wins	+0.06per pick	68cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	41c	434.74$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.54	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under	71c	434$308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.86	722	49.9%360 W · 362 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over	28c	334$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.52	293	43.7%128 W · 165 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over	57c	333$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.55	614	41.2%253 W · 361 L	-27.4wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over	56c	313.78$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.13	177	44.1%78 W · 99 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Under	70c	285.71$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.71	152	57.2%87 W · 65 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb8…7529backed Over	53c	284$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.43	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-3.0wins	-0.19per pick	57cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b59…a1cdbacked Over	76c	213$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.88	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-2.4wins	-0.18per pick	64cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over	51c	197.62$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	167	31.7%53 W · 114 L	-18.5wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under	74c	193.66$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.35	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xde2d…abbabacked Under	72c	183.85$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.48	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x396d…2fd2backed Over	30c	166.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a7…613abacked Under	50c	150$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Under	77c	129.3$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.3	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over	79c	127$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.03	252	56%141 W · 111 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	52c	122.64$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.21	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0252…38d7backed Over	13c	117.74$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.72	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.14per pick	23cpaid	-82.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cd5…b24abacked Under	24c	112.27$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.87	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+5.4wins	+0.18per pick	44cpaid	+35.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	46c	108.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	353	47.6%168 W · 185 L	-15.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed Over	29c	106.72$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.44	51	64.7%33 W · 18 L	+5.8wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	306	45.8%140 W · 166 L	-11.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45e1…c872backed Over	38c	86.26$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.99	38	50%19 W · 19 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	60c	84.62$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.77	408	41.9%171 W · 237 L	-8.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfab5…690dbacked Over	75c	79.5$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.63	41	39%16 W · 25 L	-8.8wins	-0.22per pick	61cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x4a26…7300backed Over	38c	78.95$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	123	42.3%52 W · 71 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under	70c	78.2$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.45	584	45.9%268 W · 316 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed Under	52c	76.92$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.92	29	75.9%22 W · 7 L	+7.7wins	+0.27per pick	49cpaid	+97.1%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0xb815…342fbacked Under	72c	69.1$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.08	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under	58c	68$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.32	178	49.4%88 W · 90 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc46d…87d9backed Over	63c	66.95$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.18	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over	63c	63.49$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	240	62.5%150 W · 90 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over	79c	63.01$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.09	76	59.2%45 W · 31 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c6f…06bdbacked Under	24c	61.67$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.83	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	17cpaid	+38.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	58c	61$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.29	966	45.4%439 W · 527 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf00f…28b4backed Under	72c	55.56$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.56	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Under	51c	50.67$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.03	198	53%105 W · 93 L	+12.2wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x979f…4e13backed Over	71c	49.3$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	44	40.9%18 W · 26 L	-6.5wins	-0.15per pick	56cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	51c	49.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	556	54.9%305 W · 251 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf27e…d69dbacked Over	59c	40.45$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd66…48e4backed Over	77c	36.81$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.34	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.19per pick	39cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56c6…0ea4backed Under	49c	36.26$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.61	46	37%17 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x216b…8528backed Under	69c	36.23$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.23	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	60cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed Under	73c	34.25$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.25	165	52.7%87 W · 78 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x266e…60cbbacked Over	79c	31.35$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.77	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	65cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ed9…c127backed Under	40c	31.03$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.73	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f89…b87ebacked Over	42c	28.73$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.96	49	49%24 W · 25 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Under	74c	27$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.02	67	37.3%25 W · 42 L	-5.6wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Over	78c	25.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.29	134	50.7%68 W · 66 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fd6…4ed9backed Over	79c	25.32$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.12per pick	63cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x743d…61dabacked Over	45c	23.17$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.43	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc69…78b3backed Under	55c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8a9…22c4backed Under	74c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.9	85	54.1%46 W · 39 L	-6.3wins	-0.07per pick	62cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5this page
Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event