TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,808
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,038

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,808 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No76c25,167$19,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,126.394,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes24c17,803$4,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,301.761,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No76c10,141$7,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,425.622,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes25c7,601$1,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,906.556,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes24c6,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No75c2,500$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62536954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes24c2,300$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5521,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No78c2,270$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.192,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72ab…edaabacked Yes1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick7cpaid-20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c9e…7928backed Yes27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5401030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcbc…71c1backed No77c1,960$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.81163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes24c1,500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36014147.5%67 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Yes25c1,417$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35017428.2%49 W · 125 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No64c1,214$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.67176.1%54 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes15c1,137$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.8225530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes23c938.74$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.811,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e32…4e3ebacked Yes39c711.13$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.342128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Yes27c700$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1891520%3 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No76c648.67$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.681,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Yes31c581.33$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.713727%10 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8e…27ffbacked Yes32c576.8$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.574637%17 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bdf…82cabacked Yes18c563.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002536%9 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4417…01eebacked Yes15c520$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.911142.3%47 W · 64 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No76c509$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.169859.2%58 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Yes47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.75349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x092c…3175backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc44…3b40backed Yes35c400$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.983141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006235.5%22 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fa9…d052backed Yes26c376.92$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes27c371.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007241.7%30 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No76c282.37$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.776261.3%38 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Yes35c267.06$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.756240.3%25 W · 37 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe490…5a00backed No76c250$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606546.2%30 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed No77c239.72$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.388853.4%47 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad2f…f350backed Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes5c229.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4311712%14 W · 103 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-58.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No76c220.22$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9325551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No75c202.62$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1139156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdff3…70e4backed Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes46c191.3$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8830050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa40f…2fa3backed Yes25c176$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5212…29c7backed No58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3940…9e72backed Yes24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015534.8%54 W · 101 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Yes24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05bb…8ef9backed Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403948.7%19 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No76c146.62$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1918551.9%96 W · 89 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes24c145.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3536036.1%130 W · 230 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes33c145.72$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.091,16157.4%666 W · 495 L+40.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54ee…6602backed Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Yes24c139.8$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.551442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed No76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5816160.9%98 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf232…4fc6backed No67c129.16$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.645865.5%38 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes24c110.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6412241.8%51 W · 71 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1294…9dbabacked No67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337753.2%41 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.653473.5%25 W · 9 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+35.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3434251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked No71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.212055%66 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes23c99.97$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9911828%33 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6247…9a13backed Yes43c93.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick39cpaid+63%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No65c86.65$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0929041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e6f…c966backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207030%21 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+32.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ac2…e407backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-63%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d14…261dbacked Yes17c81.96$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141942.1%8 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-32.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed No69c81.36$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2210448.1%50 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb106…bef4backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023220.7%48 W · 184 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x021a…b2d7backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204731.9%15 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c00…4b34backed Yes24c77.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed No71c76.4$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2417549.1%86 W · 89 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6768…692dbacked Yes24c73.58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6610846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes23c72.28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.811,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2df5…51acbacked Yes30c66.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No72c66.32$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4489152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes24c62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.881,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No75c61.59$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.435652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No69c61.49$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2957744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6024…d4f0backed Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid+176.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36f9…334cbacked Yes43c59.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.33450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+48.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes29c54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8224146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No75c53.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.465860.3%35 W · 23 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed No76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1211952.9%63 W · 56 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.533057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No76c49.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1240157.6%231 W · 170 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed No76c48.74$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.720858.7%122 W · 86 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No76c47.21$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3330739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf84c…7515backed Yes25c44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x471c…9e94backed Yes35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf1d…95debacked No73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.11040%4 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1231…786cbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4f0…90f4backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102737%10 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cff…83c4backed Yes34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.22343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No76c29.34$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0432453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06a0…a39fbacked No72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.78757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fd7…6c52backed No61c26.51$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.411770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed No64c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916634.9%58 W · 108 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed No77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.614049.3%69 W · 71 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No75c14.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.674564.4%29 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.