Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3bb589924a4d556051df2e95d800038895d5b7286e57c4448d73664ac028eae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 75c | 20,198$15,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,970.91 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02d…0127backed No | 19c | 9,562$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes | 78c | 8,895$6,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.84 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked No | 24c | 5,376$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.83 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…1ab2backed No | 21c | 5,153$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2c…4f0bbacked No | 26c | 4,772$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb675…3d65backed Yes | 70c | 3,675$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.69 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x323a…edebbacked No | 29c | 3,487$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed No | 21c | 3,177$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.24 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…88fabacked Yes | 72c | 2,484$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.08 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 80c | 2,309$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.74 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 24c | 2,248$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.38 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 18c | 2,209$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.56 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61d…74d2backed No | 15c | 2,133$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 67c | 2,000$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.77 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc0…dc99backed No | 36c | 1,901$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb436…bb3cbacked Yes | 79c | 1,804$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.84 | 41 | 82.9%34 W · 7 L | +10.5wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +42%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 77c | 1,759$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.59 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d99…4d7fbacked No | 22c | 1,647$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…fe51backed No | 30c | 1,573$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 79c | 1,300$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3e…281bbacked No | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 69c | 1,200$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 80c | 1,200$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c70…f9e1backed No | 33c | 1,107$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d8…102bbacked No | 24c | 1,002$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.3 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed Yes | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 17c | 913.47$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.14 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…305bbacked No | 19c | 876.19$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973d…6b94backed No | 27c | 860.46$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -54%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3141…552cbacked No | 23c | 855.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.17 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c8…dda1backed No | 26c | 847.31$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a7…46c4backed No | 24c | 834.26$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.27 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…9652backed No | 24c | 800$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 22c | 707$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.1 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -13.0wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 25c | 650.7$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.03 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe898…769fbacked No | 27c | 650$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…59abbacked Yes | 77c | 648.92$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.92 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…20f5backed No | 18c | 641.3$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.33 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c3…93c2backed No | 19c | 629.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…1a9bbacked No | 16c | 605.05$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed No | 21c | 600$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 4c | 599.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 122 | 7.4%9 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 67c | 599.98$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.99 | 184 | 45.1%83 W · 101 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…a87fbacked No | 25c | 553.75$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34e2…a134backed No | 19c | 518.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d83…e70fbacked No | 31c | 512.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a56…530ebacked No | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 75c | 484.77$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.79 | 50 | 10%5 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd47c…77f4backed No | 21c | 480.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…2d13backed Yes | 79c | 479.58$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…579fbacked No | 21c | 475.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 73c | 474.12$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.38 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeac6…f9f7backed No | 36c | 447.92$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 76c | 434$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.16 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…359dbacked Yes | 77c | 417$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 78c | 416.73$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.68 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…efa3backed No | 33c | 395.37$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.39 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd8…1484backed No | 29c | 390.55$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed No | 21c | 372.24$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.32 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…3ce5backed No | 18c | 371.56$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2162…0cb5backed No | 31c | 366.43$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…3769backed No | 29c | 344.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a3…3451backed No | 35c | 342.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 65c | 341.74$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.61 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe43f…adcabacked No | 34c | 321.77$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 7c | 309.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 142 | 8.5%12 W · 130 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…ed24backed Yes | 76c | 308.47$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb232…8709backed No | 32c | 305.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed Yes | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed Yes | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…ed7dbacked No | 35c | 299.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a3…a2ebbacked No | 26c | 299.73$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 16c | 293$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 110 | 10%11 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…2fe3backed Yes | 77c | 291.26$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.91 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 20c | 263.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.31 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a47…7609backed No | 21c | 241.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…2a97backed Yes | 64c | 230$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9a…0793backed No | 18c | 223$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f1d6backed No | 27c | 220.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Yes | 71c | 211$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.53 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0db8…4348backed No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…a825backed No | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a16…ad87backed No | 18c | 198.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed No | 19c | 191.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 48 | 16.7%8 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf65…8f02backed No | 21c | 180.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 64c | 169.22$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.33 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked No | 18c | 166.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 66 | 16.7%11 W · 55 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e41…ca06backed No | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 77c | 155.84$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…720ebacked No | 24c | 155.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…2093backed No | 31c | 150.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50bd…962abacked Yes | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed No | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…8c26backed No | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28?this page
- Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15?Yes won
- Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?No won
- Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.