Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b5624bfb36b6c8308d15610a2b4d7da83616d2dd873fb095a0aa4a1d91272f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $325,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $311,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $325,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 464 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 13c | 17,308$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,982.54 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb436…bb3cbacked Yes | 52c | 12,989$6,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,283.76 | 41 | 82.9%34 W · 7 L | +10.5wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +42%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…5169backed Yes | 58c | 10,392$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,392.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…1ab2backed No | 6c | 9,000$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf603…82f1backed Yes | 54c | 8,489$4,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,868.52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -60%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…e7f9backed No | 53c | 7,800$4,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,114.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed No | 0c | 7,400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 25c | 5,949$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,452.51 | 235 | 43.8%103 W · 132 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 32c | 5,709$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,870.76 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9951…11bdbacked No | 43c | 5,270$2,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked No | 43c | 5,049$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.51 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 43c | 4,000$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260.92 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 38c | 3,863$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,378.38 | 50 | 10%5 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 23c | 3,817$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,927.25 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2c…4f0bbacked No | 72c | 3,166$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8f…162cbacked Yes | 55c | 2,833$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.57 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4332…5609backed No | 33c | 2,768$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 52c | 2,638$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.78 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 52c | 2,523$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.43 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed No | 44c | 2,516$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.43 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…ba3fbacked No | 38c | 2,411$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 53c | 2,289$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.75 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588e…5a21backed Yes | 63c | 2,201$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 30c | 2,074$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.03 | 187 | 25.1%47 W · 140 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed Yes | 62c | 2,042$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.22 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 63c | 2,029$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.76 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.99 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…65cfbacked Yes | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 31c | 1,989$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.35 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…2d13backed No | 39c | 1,901$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d90…1e8bbacked Yes | 18c | 1,879$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 60c | 1,861$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.72 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed No | 56c | 1,790$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.11 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…a044backed No | 59c | 1,790$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 35c | 1,769$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.53 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaad…69ccbacked Yes | 37c | 1,724$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 20c | 1,715$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.16 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…fe51backed No | 40c | 1,688$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 33c | 1,639$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.66 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 52c | 1,580$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.22 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 27c | 1,554$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.58 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +246.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…62dabacked No | 48c | 1,549$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbdea…a777backed No | 41c | 1,498$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.41 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -75%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 55c | 1,468$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.6 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed Yes | 53c | 1,406$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.48 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…0ccabacked Yes | 55c | 1,388$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…d238backed Yes | 53c | 1,386$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 53c | 1,370$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.84 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 58c | 1,328$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.7 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad79…7abbbacked No | 44c | 1,314$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 38c | 1,304$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.98 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…825ebacked No | 44c | 1,292$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.44 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…d82cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,279$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +124.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 57c | 1,272$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.79 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9155…de7cbacked No | 40c | 1,253$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bac…8684backed Yes | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.9 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes | 19c | 1,133$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.54 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 31cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…579fbacked No | 64c | 1,131$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 56c | 1,104$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.34 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…b2b5backed Yes | 63c | 1,097$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed No | 3c | 1,072$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfebc…9441backed No | 43c | 1,058$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadc…d8efbacked No | 48c | 1,051$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28d7…2dd3backed Yes | 17c | 1,048$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +254.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…88fabacked Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 2cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd975…c6d6backed Yes | 17c | 1,000$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.39 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.24per pick | 28cpaid | +57%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…83cbbacked No | 67c | 1,000$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 18c | 999.98$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.98 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43c5…4d00backed Yes | 62c | 983.27$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…800dbacked Yes | 16c | 942.69$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +210.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3f…5b63backed No | 35c | 938.3$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e7…1d94backed No | 57c | 896.54$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb675…3d65backed Yes | 18c | 847.61$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.62 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…084ebacked Yes | 57c | 844.25$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.03 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…9652backed No | 42c | 836.09$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.32 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 64c | 745.31$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.96 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6183…e174backed No | 50c | 744.09$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…f939backed No | 67c | 743.4$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…34debacked No | 43c | 724.22$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…0dcabacked No | 36c | 715.16$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…398ebacked No | 21c | 693.09$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +325.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 60c | 655.72$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.82 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e40…224ebacked Yes | 21c | 644.89$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.89 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…7a80backed No | 51c | 633.24$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…8d0dbacked No | 58c | 621.14$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7649…1adfbacked Yes | 64c | 618.54$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3141…552cbacked No | 47c | 612.86$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.3 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 49c | 605.02$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.42 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked Yes | 44c | 594$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.2 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…ea9fbacked No | 34c | 591.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 57c | 587.73$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.37 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08b2…302dbacked Yes | 60c | 580$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa519…e0b2backed No | 49c | 568.46$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…05c1backed Yes | 18c | 567.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +467.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed Yes | 40c | 566.95$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.54 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 11c | 566$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.74 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4044…8de5backed Yes | 45c | 555$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.89 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.26per pick | 35cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…f5f1backed Yes | 74c | 540.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?this page
- Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15?Yes won
- Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28?Yes won
- Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.