Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x074b0d571395e427d72d641fbf163b902a4b9cd44b7cb3eff1b512f36c431267
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $602,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $516,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $602,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 680 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x955c…990fbacked No | 74c | 31,639$23,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,070.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf603…82f1backed Yes | 14c | 21,153$2,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,920.72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -60%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Yes | 3c | 18,786$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.55 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 10c | 18,456$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.07 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked No | 75c | 17,730$13,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,365.91 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Yes | 34c | 13,107$4,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,484.44 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed Yes | 14c | 11,159$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.6 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb436…bb3cbacked Yes | 45c | 10,944$4,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,937.96 | 41 | 82.9%34 W · 7 L | +10.5wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +42%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 19c | 10,764$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.25 | 50 | 10%5 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…0ccabacked Yes | 29c | 10,696$3,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,143.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 30c | 10,015$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,030.35 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaad…69ccbacked Yes | 20c | 9,749$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.73 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Yes | 18c | 8,563$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.21 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed Yes | 24c | 8,223$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.31 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed Yes | 24c | 7,606$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.74 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61d…74d2backed Yes | 4c | 7,454$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 7,104$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.19 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed Yes | 7c | 6,903$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.1 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb3…f8d6backed No | 75c | 6,575$4,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc8…8d7bbacked No | 74c | 6,523$4,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 26c | 6,502$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.61 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9507…7b04backed Yes | 3c | 6,269$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc13…c270backed Yes | 27c | 6,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed Yes | 23c | 6,000$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.27 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe86e…277ebacked No | 73c | 5,964$4,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 26c | 5,420$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.82 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 76c | 4,876$3,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.44 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…83cebacked Yes | 9c | 4,686$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.79 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…635ebacked No | 78c | 4,637$3,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9155…de7cbacked No | 67c | 4,608$3,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.77 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…deb1backed Yes | 23c | 4,400$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…d12ebacked No | 77c | 4,400$3,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked No | 80c | 4,395$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28d7…2dd3backed No | 78c | 4,366$3,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +254.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb01…02e5backed Yes | 20c | 4,229$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.52 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…d238backed Yes | 17c | 4,082$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a4…9898backed Yes | 23c | 4,064$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Yes | 21c | 4,023$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.97 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed Yes | 21c | 3,845$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.28 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43c5…4d00backed Yes | 9c | 3,730$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 21c | 3,590$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.95 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bac…8684backed Yes | 30c | 3,557$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes | 31c | 3,540$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.93 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588e…5a21backed Yes | 32c | 3,467$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 21c | 3,448$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.02 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e40…224ebacked Yes | 21c | 3,403$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.13 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…a044backed No | 76c | 3,354$2,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be5…b95fbacked Yes | 31c | 3,332$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 13c | 3,323$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.73 | 110 | 10%11 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 70c | 3,296$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.49 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 19c | 3,235$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.81 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda84…ac44backed No | 74c | 3,100$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 32c | 3,071$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.91 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…62dabacked No | 80c | 3,066$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes | 30c | 3,005$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.4 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 31cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 3c | 3,000$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c29…7570backed Yes | 21c | 3,000$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed Yes | 29c | 2,992$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x834d…1005backed Yes | 7c | 2,946$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 21c | 2,924$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.18 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…f939backed No | 78c | 2,898$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…60c2backed Yes | 7c | 2,865$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbd…3d51backed No | 69c | 2,819$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed Yes | 3c | 2,665$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59cd…716fbacked Yes | 11c | 2,649$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.38 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…65cfbacked Yes | 31c | 2,477$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…b2b5backed Yes | 28c | 2,429$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed Yes | 14c | 2,400$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed Yes | 2c | 2,286$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdea…a777backed No | 75c | 2,248$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.48 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -75%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ac…fa9ebacked No | 72c | 2,239$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…c3c9backed Yes | 3c | 2,118$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 22c | 2,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.65 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed Yes | 23c | 2,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…88fabacked Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…c427backed No | 72c | 1,949$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb37f…fdcfbacked Yes | 7c | 1,893$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,795$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.51 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d20…1f58backed No | 70c | 1,723$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae7…3e12backed No | 78c | 1,676$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…d9e2backed Yes | 26c | 1,641$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…809abacked No | 61c | 1,635$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,629$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 137 | 14.6%20 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 26c | 1,614$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.36 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +246.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2c…4f0bbacked No | 64c | 1,613$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 22c | 1,584$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.56 | 184 | 45.1%83 W · 101 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e31…454dbacked Yes | 17c | 1,550$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.38 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…fad7backed Yes | 1c | 1,512$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a05…7b0abacked No | 69c | 1,490$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc0…dc99backed No | 72c | 1,439$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…825ebacked No | 74c | 1,397$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.76 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…579fbacked No | 74c | 1,294$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 27c | 1,279$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.28 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 30c | 1,243$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.39 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes | 7c | 1,228$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.61 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd6…415abacked Yes | 43c | 1,224$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97eb…9fbebacked Yes | 19c | 1,187$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.4 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 16c | 1,181$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.1 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4edc…274fbacked No | 78c | 1,150$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…0dcabacked No | 70c | 1,113$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?this page
- Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15?Yes won
- Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28?Yes won
- Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.