Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc27ac67a55be0127382c9f51ff7370d3b24b8bf1e98d7b421f342f9cad4e53b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 65c | 5,656$3,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.85 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c70…f9e1backed No | 49c | 4,055$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 55c | 3,205$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.11 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe02d…0127backed No | 27c | 2,389$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 13c | 2,355$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.53 | 110 | 10%11 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 69c | 2,202$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.5 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb675…3d65backed Yes | 42c | 2,173$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.88 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 61c | 2,166$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.83 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed Yes | 57c | 2,125$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.15 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…fe51backed No | 34c | 2,042$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.99 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 31cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…f939backed No | 25c | 1,996$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bb…3105backed No | 49c | 1,956$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.79 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 47c | 1,685$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.15 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -8.0wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -61%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…2d13backed No | 58c | 1,657$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f4…0312backed No | 19c | 1,378$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.08 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadc…d8efbacked No | 38c | 1,319$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…9652backed No | 37c | 1,297$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.45 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdea…a777backed No | 39c | 1,220$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.4 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -75%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd975…c6d6backed Yes | 62c | 1,187$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.24 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.24per pick | 28cpaid | +57%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 41c | 1,182$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.44 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb766…1d83backed Yes | 71c | 1,100$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 69c | 1,084$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.58 | 187 | 25.1%47 W · 140 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked No | 18c | 1,023$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.92 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…83cebacked Yes | 65c | 834.8$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.23 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc13…57a8backed No | 27c | 750.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…b457backed No | 47c | 741.73$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2c…4f0bbacked No | 67c | 707.62$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3141…552cbacked No | 27c | 706.59$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.73 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 45c | 677.56$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.52 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8eef…7066backed No | 38c | 654.92$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61d…74d2backed No | 18c | 643.79$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb436…bb3cbacked Yes | 79c | 636.13$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.13 | 41 | 82.9%34 W · 7 L | +10.5wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +42%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…62dabacked No | 68c | 584.68$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 24c | 561.04$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.43 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -13.0wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 54c | 550.55$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.33 | 235 | 43.8%103 W · 132 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 60c | 548.52$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.54 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed Yes | 57c | 499.29$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.69 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…825ebacked No | 26c | 485.15$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.44 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 67c | 458.53$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.9 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 40c | 433.26$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.39 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 43c | 418.43$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.51 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c8…dda1backed No | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…59abbacked Yes | 56c | 403.56$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.56 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 58c | 399.98$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.99 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…efa3backed No | 48c | 396.34$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.2 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked Yes | 73c | 395.39$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.77 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…3769backed No | 34c | 388.56$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…de26backed Yes | 71c | 384.48$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.14 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a16…ad87backed No | 17c | 362.05$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.96 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…8766backed No | 56c | 360.59$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1c…fb66backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed No | 23c | 351.84$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.59 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 61c | 350.65$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.36 | 50 | 10%5 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed No | 22c | 328.66$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.24 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…527cbacked No | 27c | 314.59$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.66 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…9121backed No | 61c | 311.05$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 69c | 305.22$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.27 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…1a9bbacked No | 24c | 300$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc934…5551backed No | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 77c | 299.99$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 184 | 45.1%83 W · 101 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…579fbacked No | 34c | 294.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked No | 15c | 280.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 66 | 16.7%11 W · 55 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed No | 52c | 275.79$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41b…e178backed Yes | 44c | 254.44$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed No | 15c | 253.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 48 | 16.7%8 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b97…3241backed No | 24c | 247.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e41…ca06backed No | 41c | 241$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 37c | 239.24$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.44 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b5…ad50backed Yes | 77c | 232.14$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…88fabacked Yes | 69c | 229$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.09 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4044…8de5backed Yes | 44c | 217.33$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.16 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.26per pick | 35cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 31c | 215.22$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked No | 66c | 210.84$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…7a50backed No | 38c | 210.79$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 27c | 210$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 33c | 205.87$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.05 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…16bdbacked Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.96 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d6…ed47backed No | 33c | 184.76$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf603…82f1backed Yes | 73c | 181.44$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -60%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 60c | 180.95$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5582…545fbacked No | 24c | 168.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a7…46c4backed No | 33c | 163.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.81 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 17c | 160.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 122 | 7.4%9 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 73c | 160$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 318 | 40.3%128 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…a87fbacked No | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59cd…716fbacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes | 31c | 150$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…1df4backed Yes | 64c | 150$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d31…3230backed No | 39c | 141.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3b…3531backed No | 57c | 140.23$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 29c | 132$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2797…d36fbacked No | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes | 77c | 124.68$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac6…f9f7backed No | 67c | 119.54$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked Yes | 63c | 111$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15?this page
- Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28?Yes won
- Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?No won
- Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.