AI · resolved market
Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0144c66a89b062a632ac4a5ee3b07ffdd3527c7a52d3e88c7a927297ea9b8bee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $168,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 646 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51b1…7865backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…60afbacked Yes | 74c | 7,779$5,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.37 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed No | 36c | 7,234$2,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,603.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe195…6117backed No | 9c | 4,017$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 79c | 3,812$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.61 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf69a…1dbebacked Yes | 59c | 3,667$2,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe813…97f5backed No | 14c | 3,344$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 2c | 3,041$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.82 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | +13.1wins | +0.14per pick | 21cpaid | +167%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…5458backed Yes | 65c | 2,625$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +170.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 65c | 2,122$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.27 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…fdb3backed No | 16c | 2,098$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.16 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…73acbacked Yes | 60c | 1,931$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.13 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ae…4cf1backed No | 4c | 1,717$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 53 | 1.9%1 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad7…0971backed No | 1c | 1,454$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2288…5844backed No | 18c | 1,404$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2292…304ebacked No | 14c | 1,363$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 7c | 1,335$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.95 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 43c | 1,330$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.05 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc45…6805backed No | 9c | 1,295$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.45 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…dfa4backed No | 44c | 1,145$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 45c | 1,048$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b54…3325backed No | 3c | 1,006$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x231e…9297backed No | 19c | 932.84$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.19 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fba…8a7dbacked No | 11c | 922.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac95…df88backed Yes | 60c | 890.7$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.37 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 11c | 875.63$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.81 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…ec8dbacked No | 45c | 749$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.77 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 6c | 743.93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed No | 7c | 681.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 52 | 1.9%1 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…bdb2backed No | 39c | 681.26$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 4c | 679.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 87 | 0%0 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 34c | 670$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ea…08a5backed No | 36c | 670$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb704…dc1ebacked No | 2c | 668.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfebe…2984backed No | 12c | 666.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4dc…0fc3backed No | 6c | 638.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x924f…134bbacked No | 38c | 636.03$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 2c | 626.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91a1…57b9backed No | 37c | 610.95$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc14…2e9bbacked Yes | 61c | 602.51$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.52 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 6c | 600$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 85 | 0%0 W · 85 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…f112backed No | 4c | 599.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 37c | 572.1$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.28 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b1…6a01backed No | 17c | 571.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed No | 40c | 564.92$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.99 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05fc…f78ebacked No | 32c | 544$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7352…e156backed No | 13c | 523$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2651…1ab2backed No | 7c | 505.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…b5e3backed No | 46c | 501$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.46 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…4883backed No | 15c | 499.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked Yes | 63c | 499.97$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.99 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…ae3ebacked Yes | 69c | 493.96$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…6c14backed Yes | 63c | 493$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked No | 6c | 487.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 72 | 4.2%3 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cb…ac3dbacked Yes | 50c | 487$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 67c | 482.18$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.16 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf769…aa46backed Yes | 63c | 478.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.91 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +55%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4e…8093backed No | 43c | 467.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e23…5430backed No | 40c | 461.33$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed No | 44c | 461$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.27 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e09…20fdbacked No | 6c | 442$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5b…d88dbacked Yes | 63c | 438.24$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed Yes | 61c | 436$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.03 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 7c | 430.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b5…cf5fbacked No | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.01 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…607ebacked No | 4c | 396.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…c6fbbacked Yes | 57c | 392$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.56 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…421dbacked No | 7c | 386.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4a…3242backed No | 36c | 386.46$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed Yes | 54c | 386$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.56 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +123%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…333fbacked Yes | 53c | 382$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.54 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…09a7backed No | 39c | 380$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…305bbacked No | 40c | 357$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.52 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6943backed Yes | 58c | 340$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd11f…2d2cbacked Yes | 59c | 336$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09cb…218ebacked No | 34c | 334.57$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e35…384fbacked No | 48c | 330$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 41c | 319.04$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.21 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…90dfbacked No | 38c | 317.16$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6735…f5b7backed No | 59c | 315.28$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.11 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…1f1cbacked No | 29c | 311.42$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 11c | 310.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed No | 10c | 303.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…7495backed No | 9c | 302.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked Yes | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.34per pick | 48cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 68c | 297.52$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.42 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a1…2736backed Yes | 62c | 296.37$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.62 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c5…765abacked Yes | 63c | 295.52$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked No | 40c | 290.34$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…5839backed Yes | 61c | 286.86$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.14 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…c4c9backed Yes | 49c | 283$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe078…e707backed No | 6c | 280.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8f…d077backed Yes | 61c | 277.01$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.36 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…b63dbacked No | 42c | 277$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.34 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd704…cf56backed No | 32c | 276.96$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…cad6backed No | 47c | 270$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…23f6backed Yes | 52c | 269$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.12 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +5.5wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…9a60backed Yes | 52c | 265$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…829dbacked No | 41c | 254$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.