World Politics · resolved market
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c3dce8515854f167dc523745a6b9d98d22ec9266d9f4921f62fd3e4bf1cfa1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,161,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,260,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,161,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 679 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd86b…1924backed No | 0c | 496,538$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad9…a618backed No | 0c | 315,808$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d12…ab54backed No | 0c | 303,918$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b7…873bbacked No | 0c | 231,876$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…77bdbacked No | 0c | 227,370$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd47…497bbacked No | 0c | 217,302$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09e9…64e6backed No | 0c | 172,575$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 1c | 154,312$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.6 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…ea84backed No | 0c | 137,167$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe557…7e8cbacked No | 0c | 120,745$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 0c | 118,456$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79a2…4c27backed No | 0c | 117,188$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0719…a8f7backed No | 0c | 111,000$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc955…9ffcbacked No | 1c | 105,294$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2233…6fc1backed No | 0c | 105,118$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked No | 0c | 99,998$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x484a…c6e0backed No | 0c | 84,430$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee69…05d0backed No | 1c | 70,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a17…ad3bbacked No | 0c | 66,500$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +137.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed No | 0c | 60,460$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.92 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -90.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8b…c905backed No | 0c | 55,000$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aec…22a9backed No | 0c | 52,139$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…5e9cbacked No | 0c | 44,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4530…1e1cbacked No | 0c | 43,704$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6985…afdfbacked No | 0c | 40,667$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ceb…f801backed No | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee1…5a04backed No | 0c | 39,823$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb194…1063backed No | 0c | 37,498$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b64…d59ebacked No | 0c | 36,253$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7a…e98fbacked No | 0c | 35,967$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…ea5ebacked No | 0c | 35,933$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a2…376fbacked No | 0c | 32,479$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…cce7backed No | 0c | 31,570$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d29…af70backed No | 0c | 31,333$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c60…0b12backed No | 0c | 29,167$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e94…ba10backed No | 0c | 26,577$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…b1a8backed No | 2c | 25,705$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e34…42ffbacked No | 0c | 25,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa410…5169backed No | 0c | 24,080$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x109e…0a59backed No | 0c | 24,080$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a8…416cbacked No | 3c | 22,041$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…b728backed No | 0c | 21,714$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe084…28ebbacked No | 0c | 20,990$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee8…cf81backed No | 1c | 20,685$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x845e…d22bbacked No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +134.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…495abacked No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f36…cae8backed No | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e96…6373backed No | 0c | 19,633$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…1176backed No | 0c | 18,870$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…0006backed No | 0c | 18,500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7457…13f0backed No | 0c | 18,039$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…e30ebacked No | 0c | 18,030$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…c915backed No | 2c | 18,004$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1c…ff82backed No | 0c | 17,475$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed04…7419backed No | 0c | 16,902$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55cf…d0c0backed No | 1c | 16,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc60…a16fbacked No | 1c | 16,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c4…ba3bbacked No | 0c | 16,663$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d7…2413backed No | 0c | 16,112$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2179…2e2abacked No | 0c | 15,840$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb015…734bbacked No | 0c | 15,750$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…c24ebacked No | 1c | 15,706$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…b53cbacked No | 0c | 15,689$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf619…71f8backed No | 0c | 15,680$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…477cbacked No | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…7b21backed No | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf34…e4d3backed No | 0c | 14,850$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe51a…2665backed No | 0c | 14,706$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3313…2512backed No | 0c | 14,590$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…ea55backed No | 1c | 14,210$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2150…581bbacked No | 0c | 14,041$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +73%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5413…1a2bbacked No | 0c | 14,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed No | 0c | 12,484$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 65c | 12,245$7,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,919.94 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 2c | 11,950$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.54 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239e…3ac6backed No | 1c | 11,708$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd168…c167backed No | 0c | 11,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…cb8abacked No | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…9f1cbacked No | 0c | 10,950$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c4…32c9backed No | 0c | 10,500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…b2acbacked No | 0c | 10,467$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked No | 0c | 10,250$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…ef2fbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf5…a7fbbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…34fdbacked No | 1c | 9,900$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6000…4a5ebacked No | 1c | 9,012$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb7…b020backed No | 0c | 8,615$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…e418backed No | 0c | 8,500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6a…4cfdbacked No | 0c | 8,500$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4a…c1f4backed No | 0c | 8,500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…ff42backed No | 0c | 8,250$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7154…c925backed No | 0c | 7,583$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…b496backed No | 1c | 7,333$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +205.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 61c | 7,323$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,823.17 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…e7e0backed No | 0c | 7,066$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f3…4c06backed No | 4c | 6,954$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.43 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…affdbacked No | 0c | 6,517$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 2c | 6,500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe86c…bb51backed No | 1c | 6,479$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.