NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24a52085c35d346786616f5b4dad061abab152c7bb26f87b3afeb8b6af78923a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Golden Knights, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $925,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $968,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $925,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 903 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf195…8057backed Golden Knights | 53c | 452,245$239,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212,842.24 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 293,308$137,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137,854.68 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 89,976$42,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,288.65 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Maple Leafs | 26c | 59,062$15,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,558.18 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Golden Knights | 53c | 54,572$28,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,894.62 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 47,986$22,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,795.37 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 46,360$21,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,934.8 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Golden Knights | 74c | 32,000$23,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Golden Knights | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,100 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 26,589$11,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,697.04 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Golden Knights | 53c | 18,858$9,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,863.49 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 16,285$7,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,820 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 15,125$7,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,108.73 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Golden Knights | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,199.95 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Golden Knights | 74c | 10,800$7,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,815.97 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights | 52c | 10,555$5,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,116.38 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3644…6fdfbacked Golden Knights | 53c | 10,005$5,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,702.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.94 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…d640backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 8,511$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 8,479$4,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,091.45 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Golden Knights | 52c | 8,367$4,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,016.15 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Golden Knights | 74c | 8,000$5,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 6,710$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 6,640$3,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,183.69 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 6,589$3,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,096.78 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 6,500$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Golden Knights | 72c | 6,080$4,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.25 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…d061backed Golden Knights | 53c | 5,645$2,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,653.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 5,319$2,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,572.78 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Golden Knights | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Golden Knights | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Golden Knights | 78c | 4,492$3,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.25 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maple Leafs | 26c | 4,378$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.57 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 3,848$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.79 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…959abacked Golden Knights | 53c | 3,783$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.01 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Maple Leafs | 29c | 3,488$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Golden Knights | 52c | 3,330$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.4 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Golden Knights | 78c | 2,997$2,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.41 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Golden Knights | 73c | 2,795$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.46 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Golden Knights | 53c | 2,765$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.96 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…8416backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 2,661$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Golden Knights | 73c | 2,643$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.61 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…f6cebacked Maple Leafs | 37c | 2,448$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802a…8901backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 2,445$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Golden Knights | 79c | 2,433$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.67 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maple Leafs | 18c | 2,304$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.28 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Maple Leafs | 24c | 2,284$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.33 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 2,237$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.38 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…4d2cbacked Maple Leafs | 12c | 2,170$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.47 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ee…c1c6backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 2,111$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Golden Knights | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.96 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,886$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.05 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…7a83backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,880$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…db5dbacked Golden Knights | 53c | 1,875$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +53%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 1,822$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa22…fd57backed Golden Knights | 53c | 1,813$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Golden Knights | 75c | 1,798$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…aba0backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,707$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Golden Knights | 53c | 1,707$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.51 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Golden Knights | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,428$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.19 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Maple Leafs | 21c | 1,426$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.42 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d8…480bbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,395$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.81 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…2bd1backed Maple Leafs | 7c | 1,337$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0191…8322backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,318$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Maple Leafs | 12c | 1,300$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.99 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,254$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.13 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Golden Knights | 73c | 1,220$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.36 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 1,207$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Golden Knights | 53c | 1,119$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.4 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,109$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.68 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Golden Knights | 73c | 1,096$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.92 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Golden Knights | 53c | 1,080$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.6 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Maple Leafs | 27c | 1,053$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.65 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Golden Knights | 49c | 1,042$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.19 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maple Leafs | 19c | 1,026$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.96 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…a5cbbacked Golden Knights | 79c | 1,012$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.26 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…9d18backed Golden Knights | 79c | 1,005$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.05 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Golden Knights | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Golden Knights | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Golden Knights | 53c | 998.11$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.11 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Golden Knights | 78c | 988.95$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.27 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Maple Leafs | 10c | 978.43$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.22 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Golden Knights | 53c | 953.5$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.14 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Golden Knights | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Golden Knights | 76c | 851.19$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.05 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba31…de52backed Maple Leafs | 3c | 839.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x624f…8d59backed Golden Knights | 73c | 820.26$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Golden Knights | 74c | 802.7$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.7 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Golden Knights | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 784$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.45 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Golden Knights | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 417 | 57.3%239 W · 178 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Golden Knights | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafsthis page
- Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Golden Knights won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.