NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd979352de9896cfbb2585eb1f5852e23dc89d2b97f29920860039099e9fcf90f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bluesof Blues, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $632,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $641,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $632,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 945 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Senators | 60c | 160,357$96,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,000 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Blues | 41c | 58,329$23,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,414.4 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Blues | 72c | 54,537$39,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,495.25 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Senators | 44c | 50,000$22,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,000 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Blues | 40c | 35,583$14,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,349.71 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Blues | 40c | 24,298$9,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,578.5 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Blues | 40c | 17,080$6,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,248 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Senators | 26c | 10,544$2,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,729.07 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Senators | 58c | 10,029$5,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,816.99 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Blues | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,100 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Senators | 28c | 8,727$2,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,409.2 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Senators | 59c | 7,500$4,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,425 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Blues | 40c | 7,097$2,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,262.65 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Blues | 40c | 6,197$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,718.2 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Blues | 42c | 5,764$2,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,343.12 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Blues | 39c | 5,555$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,388.55 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Blues | 42c | 5,501$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190.81 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Blues | 39c | 5,128$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,128.08 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blues | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blues | 43c | 4,587$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,595.63 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Senators | 60c | 4,574$2,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,735.8 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Senators | 58c | 4,034$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.98 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Blues | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.99 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Senators | 59c | 3,756$2,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.45 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Blues | 41c | 3,409$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,011.3 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…5e0fbacked Senators | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -8.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Blues | 45c | 3,200$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.03 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Blues | 41c | 3,182$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.38 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Senators | 26c | 2,793$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.36 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Blues | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ca…679bbacked Senators | 60c | 2,439$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Senators | 40c | 2,412$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.61 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Blues | 41c | 2,385$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.15 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blues | 39c | 2,133$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.93 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Senators | 58c | 2,111$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.24 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Blues | 49c | 2,061$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.08 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Senators | 58c | 1,809$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.22 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Blues | 42c | 1,690$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.48 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Senators | 46c | 1,557$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.77 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…1371backed Senators | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -5.4wins | -0.38per pick | 53cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7212…eb36backed Senators | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58da…ddadbacked Senators | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692d…13a2backed Senators | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe1…5a9cbacked Senators | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…ee61backed Blues | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +49%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8023…875fbacked Senators | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6db4…afd7backed Senators | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76c7…1d67backed Blues | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb68…d03dbacked Blues | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6773…bddabacked Senators | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e0…9865backed Senators | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d38…cdebbacked Blues | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5a…fad0backed Blues | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8498…f15abacked Senators | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eab…c581backed Senators | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4c…31dcbacked Blues | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a57…5bdbbacked Senators | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcec…b57bbacked Blues | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…5c12backed Blues | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c3…df3fbacked Senators | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcb…b7b5backed Blues | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…05d0backed Blues | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5f…e99ebacked Blues | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39e3…43d7backed Blues | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…e292backed Senators | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e60…3890backed Blues | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…a713backed Blues | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…ca6dbacked Senators | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4351…cf9bbacked Senators | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x094b…40b5backed Blues | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…87c5backed Blues | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b9…535abacked Senators | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe273…770ebacked Senators | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1f…bd1abacked Senators | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…5f73backed Blues | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfddb…c4d1backed Blues | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…c309backed Blues | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…d367backed Senators | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58fc…3f84backed Senators | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…5525backed Senators | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…6232backed Senators | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…4739backed Senators | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2362…a3c7backed Senators | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…24d8backed Blues | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…ad84backed Blues | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf732…b747backed Senators | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2a…52efbacked Blues | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64df…92cbbacked Senators | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.6wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe12c…e627backed Senators | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9360…fa27backed Blues | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024d…01afbacked Blues | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1384…3150backed Senators | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…4986backed Senators | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcae2…976abacked Senators | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…3dd3backed Senators | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2333…735bbacked Senators | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…7310backed Blues | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ba…7426backed Blues | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf669…0e85backed Senators | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x395f…6f77backed Senators | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blues vs. Senatorsthis page
- Blues vs. Senators: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.