TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Utah

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Kings, Utah
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,481,270
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,495,554

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,481,270 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 599 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Utah50c601,082$303,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303,136.5688151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Kings62c327,627$201,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125,630.881,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6b4…a278backed Kings50c251,949$125,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126,252.4910349.5%51 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef54…d1eebacked Kings49c166,367$81,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84,509.0117749.2%87 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Utah51c132,777$67,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,525.3515953.5%85 W · 74 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x387c…57b3backed Kings52c125,434$64,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,587.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe73e…74febacked Kings51c102,941$52,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,441.181741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Utah50c97,818$48,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,542.247951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Utah19c54,162$10,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,208.2262951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd670…b24ebacked Utah51c42,300$21,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,573742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Kings49c41,002$20,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,91124349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Utah47c40,937$19,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,278.682,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Kings50c40,519$20,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,442.4910745.8%49 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Kings49c26,445$12,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,486.788354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Utah49c25,573$12,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,530.5548549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Utah17c19,394$3,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,266.9117057.6%98 W · 72 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Utah50c17,925$8,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,940.751,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Utah49c16,180$7,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,967.022,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cae…a00abacked Utah52c15,000$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,800333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Kings48c13,653$6,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,099.5156649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Utah16c12,800$2,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,037.073345.5%15 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+46.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Utah50c11,240$5,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,62038748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Utah15c11,045$1,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,692.828353%150 W · 133 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32eb…0c1bbacked Kings51c10,891$5,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,336.594654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Kings51c10,784$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,284.317844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Utah7c10,521$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.2615057.3%86 W · 64 L+14.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Kings49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.9942552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Utah16c9,059$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.3232744%144 W · 183 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8d…c1f7backed Utah50c8,600$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,300425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Utah50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Kings49c7,990$3,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,075.1793953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Kings49c7,143$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,642.8685250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Kings49c7,095$3,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,618.413759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Utah22c7,000$1,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,52626344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Utah26c6,935$1,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,786.861,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Utah44c6,500$2,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,86051045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Kings49c6,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0601,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1358…1af4backed Kings50c5,300$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6501457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Kings49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,55086649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed Kings51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4502850%14 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Kings49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.9827548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9e8…731cbacked Utah50c4,746$2,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,371.546835.3%24 W · 44 L-9.6wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-31.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Kings57c4,479$2,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,945.8375251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Kings50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00029651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0db4…cc65backed Utah50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3909…56d7backed Utah52c3,500$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,820450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Kings50c3,322$1,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,669.2768449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Utah49c3,289$1,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,609.0563249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2195…16f9backed Utah50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004440.9%18 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29bf…1e8bbacked Utah51c3,000$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5151533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-36.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Kings50c2,960$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,48030946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Utah20c2,900$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5691,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda2…3fa5backed Kings50c2,800$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Kings50c2,749$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.3930447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Utah47c2,504$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.271,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x650d…ee9abacked Kings50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+58.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Utah49c2,452$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.3752050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Utah50c2,372$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.3169550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Kings79c2,144$1,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.3784953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Kings48c2,086$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.4783652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bc8…f7b4backed Kings48c2,021$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.89560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Kings48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04016241.4%67 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x676b…90d4backed Kings50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.32per pick56cpaid+64.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Utah48c2,000$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.431,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ce4…ca78backed Utah51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02040%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Utah50c2,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.9945955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Utah22c2,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.9913241.7%55 W · 77 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Kings50c1,815$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.366443.8%28 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Utah50c1,781$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.791,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Utah1c1,776$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.767450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4e7…6c34backed Kings48c1,764$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.371855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x273c…7a42backed Kings59c1,756$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.4118159.7%108 W · 73 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fd1…8257backed Utah50c1,700$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8501050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Utah49c1,649$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8089052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdadb…ee44backed Kings51c1,600$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c59…7e7fbacked Utah50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Utah49c1,531$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7509846.9%46 W · 52 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Utah50c1,500$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7551,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc0e…ec76backed Kings50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Utah15c1,440$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.391,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Utah28c1,408$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.6127353.8%147 W · 126 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8463…a509backed Utah50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fc…dd38backed Kings50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7003100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+91.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadab…aecdbacked Utah50c1,300$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65040%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x41e4…4e14backed Kings50c1,300$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+60%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Utah26c1,297$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.333,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Utah50c1,275$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.451,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Kings65c1,220$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.9882043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Kings48c1,187$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.328652.4%150 W · 136 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe143…5608backed Utah50c1,124$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x172e…5ba7backed Utah50c1,122$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Utah18c1,121$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20060337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c43…1bc3backed Kings51c1,102$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04d0…8630backed Kings51c1,100$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Kings49c1,090$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.811354%61 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80dd…d677backed Utah52c1,058$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Utah50c1,050$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.136157.4%35 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4942…6169backed Kings49c1,041$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Kings48c1,030$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.937546.7%35 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5031…1ffbbacked Kings78c1,021$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.73650%18 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.