NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55a7c9181551d7ae9e882ff036fdc4f6dc1f3d344931f1aebaab94bb526a5034
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Capitals, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $971,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $980,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $971,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 545 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Capitals | 55c | 304,734$168,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168,419.09 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Ducks | 45c | 282,779$126,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156,379.03 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Ducks | 44c | 201,042$88,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,452.34 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Capitals | 55c | 84,848$46,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,841.18 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Ducks | 36c | 60,000$21,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,200 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Capitals | 57c | 41,427$23,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,613.58 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Ducks | 43c | 34,643$14,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,746.5 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Capitals | 63c | 33,591$21,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,093.75 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Capitals | 55c | 31,570$17,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,363.5 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Capitals | 55c | 30,000$16,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,430 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Ducks | 47c | 30,000$14,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,948.35 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Capitals | 56c | 25,550$14,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,190.22 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Capitals | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,400 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Capitals | 56c | 18,554$10,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,398.08 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ca…5838backed Capitals | 5c | 18,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Ducks | 43c | 17,500$7,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,975 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Ducks | 47c | 13,169$6,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,015.3 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Capitals | 57c | 12,226$6,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,907.72 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 54c | 11,364$6,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,095.31 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Capitals | 56c | 9,389$5,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,257.68 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Capitals | 54c | 9,287$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Ducks | 49c | 8,835$4,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,506.01 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…08babacked Capitals | 56c | 8,511$4,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,765.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfc…337cbacked Ducks | 44c | 8,498$3,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,758.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Capitals | 54c | 7,547$4,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,075.23 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Capitals | 57c | 7,000$3,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,990 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Capitals | 56c | 6,934$3,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,852.18 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Ducks | 46c | 6,607$3,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,567.86 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Ducks | 43c | 6,500$2,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,733.08 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Capitals | 57c | 6,500$3,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,705 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Capitals | 55c | 5,867$3,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,226.85 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Capitals | 55c | 5,500$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Capitals | 57c | 5,235$2,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,974.57 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Ducks | 44c | 5,216$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,920.91 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff51…83e3backed Capitals | 57c | 5,200$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,964 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Capitals | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Ducks | 46c | 4,729$2,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,554.35 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1e…d204backed Ducks | 43c | 4,600$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,622 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +40%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…9bbdbacked Capitals | 56c | 4,426$2,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Capitals | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Capitals | 54c | 4,000$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.99 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Capitals | 60c | 3,876$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,322.52 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Capitals | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.8 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Capitals | 3c | 3,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Ducks | 47c | 3,192$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.37 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12e4…2f15backed Ducks | 44c | 3,162$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Capitals | 54c | 3,119$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.71 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5293…2f35backed Capitals | 57c | 3,100$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Capitals | 62c | 2,972$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.63 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +9.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbba…f349backed Capitals | 56c | 2,903$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Capitals | 58c | 2,800$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Ducks | 34c | 2,786$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.26 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Capitals | 56c | 2,756$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.12 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Capitals | 57c | 2,368$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.74 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ca…679bbacked Capitals | 53c | 2,254$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ducks | 46c | 2,065$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.96 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Capitals | 57c | 2,010$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.76 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Capitals | 62c | 2,000$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.16 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Capitals | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…ab18backed Capitals | 55c | 2,000$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Capitals | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Ducks | 41c | 1,969$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.71 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Ducks | 42c | 1,940$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.2 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Capitals | 55c | 1,883$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.76 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Capitals | 67c | 1,820$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.04 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Capitals | 56c | 1,600$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.34 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Capitals | 56c | 1,510$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.56 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb498…64a0backed Ducks | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4877…7f00backed Ducks | 43c | 1,400$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +101%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…1639backed Ducks | 43c | 1,379$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.22 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Capitals | 55c | 1,375$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.19 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…7a42backed Capitals | 55c | 1,365$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.88 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Capitals | 55c | 1,364$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.52 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Capitals | 57c | 1,346$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07f…c3bcbacked Ducks | 43c | 1,300$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Ducks | 43c | 1,300$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Capitals | 58c | 1,293$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Capitals | 57c | 1,218$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.92 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…2ccbbacked Ducks | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Ducks | 43c | 1,162$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.34 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ducks | 46c | 1,146$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.9 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Capitals | 56c | 1,107$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…a696backed Capitals | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Ducks | 30c | 1,071$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.12 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Ducks | 43c | 1,040$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.74 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Ducks | 49c | 1,033$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.92 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Ducks | 42c | 1,010$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.52 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Capitals | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…a73ebacked Ducks | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Capitals | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Capitals | 55c | 992.87$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.08 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ducks | 39c | 949.76$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.48 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Ducks | 38c | 910$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.58 | 312 | 57.4%179 W · 133 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x416a…fd6cbacked Capitals | 57c | 900$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…ee7bbacked Capitals | 56c | 900$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Ducks | 40c | 885.94$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.94 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Capitals | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fe…74dbbacked Ducks | 44c | 847.73$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.73 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Capitals | 56c | 826$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.55 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Capitals | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Ducksthis page
- Capitals vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Capitals vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.