South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2025-12-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8911808a84cad5f0704f7ee1d08cb0ac60161707a79e8abeeaf4e9ad17ebea34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 41c | 30,000$12,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,300 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 59c | 28,068$16,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,507.71 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe01a…d527backed No | 61c | 1,690$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ea…bf18backed Yes | 39c | 1,688$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…f266backed Yes | 40c | 1,251$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3dc…889bbacked Yes | 40c | 1,033$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e2…c715backed Yes | 40c | 987$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a4…31e9backed No | 60c | 751$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…774fbacked No | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0496…a7cfbacked Yes | 40c | 696$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 4c | 657.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 61c | 619.05$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.43 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d2…75f2backed No | 60c | 576$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…4678backed No | 60c | 556$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc4…5a7abacked No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +161.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 59c | 466.93$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.91 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…28a5backed Yes | 11c | 459.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b12…c3c1backed No | 60c | 411$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…6598backed Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 4c | 375$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…ef9fbacked No | 60c | 333$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 10c | 325.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 62c | 299.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 9c | 254$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…1521backed Yes | 40c | 200$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe924…b2c7backed No | 62c | 187$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 37c | 177.59$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 11c | 159.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 59c | 158$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.78 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 39c | 152.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7582…f6b2backed No | 60c | 140$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Yes | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe673…5c88backed No | 62c | 101$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3c…615dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 59c | 89.6$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 36c | 82.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…8938backed Yes | 41c | 72.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 61c | 67.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e86…fffebacked Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…b378backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd288…d6ffbacked Yes | 39c | 49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f2…034bbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 30cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6d…a044backed Yes | 39c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…fccdbacked No | 61c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 35c | 36.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 78c | 36.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -10.4wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -46%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 38c | 27.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 77c | 25.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 54c | 21.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…7e6cbacked Yes | 46c | 21.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 80c | 14.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2025-12-01?this page
- Will CA Barracas Central vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw?No won
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2025-12-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.