South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2025-12-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8cc5be0b3a6c32c0d231b0020c4b812104b61db9ba570471f24c14b7b1625d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 70c | 1,496$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.63 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe788…1938backed No | 72c | 1,430$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaca…c1f9backed Yes | 28c | 1,428$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 1,263$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.7 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc4…5a7abacked Yes | 28c | 1,021$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +161.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 29c | 959.98$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.59 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35a…98a0backed Yes | 28c | 910$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…f266backed No | 72c | 903$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 68c | 724$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.73 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 29c | 700.48$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.34 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4294…a1c8backed No | 72c | 700$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 658.66$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.22 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 30c | 629$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.55 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 457.51$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.04 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 416.11$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.95 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…2ad8backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +137.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 30c | 331.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 64c | 304.15$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.14 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 70c | 255.15$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.06 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f60…f025backed No | 72c | 210$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 33c | 207.97$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.97 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…1521backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 44c | 197.29$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.99 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9b…40f4backed No | 72c | 163$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 29c | 142.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.63 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 70c | 123.98$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Yes | 58c | 97.26$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -10.4wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -46%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 67c | 89.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 404 | 42.1%170 W · 234 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 27c | 74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 318 | 27%86 W · 232 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3f…d2e2backed Yes | 76c | 71.54$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f2…034bbacked Yes | 30c | 66.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 30cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 39c | 47.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 50c | 46.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 27c | 38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed No | 60c | 37.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd699…3f8abacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked Yes | 63c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed No | 73c | 14.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…7e6cbacked No | 74c | 13.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2025-12-01?this page
- Will CA Barracas Central vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2025-12-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.