NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x494ec08c4e7cdd89237726c9ee3788e331afe31478151b059fd2057f57a9b800
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 56c | 1,482$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.08 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 53c | 1,470$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 46c | 1,199$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.92 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 917.37$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.41 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 539.87$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.99 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 57c | 461$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.23 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 425$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Over | 46c | 369.57$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Over | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 93.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.08 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57bc…d82dbacked Under | 56c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…8938backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 46c | 36.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 55c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Over | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Nets won
- Celtics vs. NetsCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Nets: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 222.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 223.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 224.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-10.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-11.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.