NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21ece3b69fb3b2f7667396eb9cfe257cd7cab9272f45873ea2f9bd13422234de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Celtics | 52c | 35,000$18,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,800 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nets | 48c | 20,365$9,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,774.96 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f23…dfb1backed Celtics | 52c | 12,500$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Nets | 48c | 12,485$5,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,992.72 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Nets | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nets | 48c | 4,382$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.16 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Nets | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.95 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Celtics | 53c | 2,946$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.75 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Nets | 48c | 1,395$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.6 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nets | 55c | 1,351$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.36 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Nets | 49c | 1,295$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.7 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Nets | 50c | 1,145$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.59 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Celtics | 52c | 1,078$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.42 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3f…bb7cbacked Nets | 50c | 1,005$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e2…9b0cbacked Nets | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.85 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Nets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Celtics | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb7…3893backed Celtics | 53c | 900$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd74c…deb7backed Nets | 47c | 899.95$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.98 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1527…120ebacked Nets | 53c | 635.57$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.85 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…56aebacked Celtics | 40c | 630$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…3308backed Nets | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics | 47c | 605.61$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.98 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…914abacked Nets | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Nets | 47c | 386.8$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.07 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Celtics | 52c | 385.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.06 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Nets | 48c | 384$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.32 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Celtics | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 230 | 58.7%135 W · 95 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c1…928cbacked Nets | 49c | 269.13$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.88 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Celtics | 51c | 260$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.1 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Nets | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Celtics | 53c | 240$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Celtics | 49c | 220.07$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.23 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Nets | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3906…f74bbacked Nets | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a83…09f0backed Celtics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Nets | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Celtics | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Nets | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Nets | 47c | 199$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.53 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3dd…45d3backed Celtics | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Celtics | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Nets | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Celtics | 77c | 122$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 158 | 38.6%61 W · 97 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Nets | 48c | 121.01$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Nets | 51c | 114.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc2…d923backed Celtics | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Nets | 48c | 110$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nets | 51c | 102.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…9166backed Celtics | 53c | 101.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Celtics | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…24f4backed Celtics | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Nets | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…8117backed Celtics | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…9cf9backed Celtics | 53c | 93.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Nets | 63c | 79.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Celtics | 46c | 71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…7c76backed Celtics | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f1…025dbacked Celtics | 51c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…f9a1backed Celtics | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 350 | 52%182 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…5735backed Celtics | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x084c…a811backed Celtics | 53c | 54.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…581bbacked Celtics | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…97e5backed Celtics | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb62…d14fbacked Celtics | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nets | 47c | 48.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Celtics | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Celtics | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…4d91backed Celtics | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Celtics | 53c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…f4c5backed Celtics | 53c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…c325backed Nets | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf256…a93fbacked Celtics | 55c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Celtics | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5729…c366backed Celtics | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x188b…7c63backed Celtics | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f1…1744backed Celtics | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…5b88backed Celtics | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -6.3wins | -0.30per pick | 54cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9aed…bd17backed Nets | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Celtics | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9802…4c0dbacked Celtics | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe985…7a09backed Celtics | 53c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Celtics | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40c5…0decbacked Celtics | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6e…6a74backed Celtics | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe800…0588backed Celtics | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Nets | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb52…8046backed Celtics | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…7050backed Celtics | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Celtics | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa798…4240backed Celtics | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Nets won
- Celtics vs. NetsCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Nets: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 222.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 223.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 224.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 225.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-11.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.