NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48a4bc6590d4740b26f58efb8256df3068384cd2ebe6be7ed4a30c2dcd119f77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 53c | 16,750$8,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,872.55 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Under | 49c | 12,000$5,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,119.98 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 49c | 10,487$5,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,121.7 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 9,351$4,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,533.09 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 51c | 2,902$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.02 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…c98abacked Under | 49c | 1,959$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.18 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 51c | 1,893$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.87 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Over | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 52c | 1,042$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Over | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 47c | 745$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.15 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa499…7873backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb391…8939backed Over | 52c | 400$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.6 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…bd81backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 51c | 386$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.86 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 256.16$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.75 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb20a…2de4backed Over | 50c | 200.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068f…4594backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 194$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.36 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Over | 53c | 185$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.35 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…ff8bbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 51c | 176.47$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 35c | 163.26$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 139.65$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.22 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 51c | 131$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…908dbacked Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Over | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf28…72aabacked Over | 10c | 119$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 133 | 18.8%25 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 49c | 105$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 51c | 69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 48c | 69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked Over | 49c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed Over | 49c | 53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…0accbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05f1…1744backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa709…8d1dbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…bfdfbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d21cbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Under | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 273 | 59%161 W · 112 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17a3…8dadbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -6.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 222.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Nets won
- Celtics vs. NetsCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Nets: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 223.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 224.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 225.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-10.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-11.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.