TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Pacers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,053,278
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,043,902

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,053,278 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,527 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Pacers38c831,720$320,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320,00010049%49 W · 51 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Pacers35c254,250$89,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89,726.0915443.5%67 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Cavaliers63c200,014$125,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,405.320253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked Pacers2c183,305$2,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,784.1611558.3%67 W · 48 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Cavaliers61c152,110$92,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,322.987144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Cavaliers62c150,000$93,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,00026753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3657…6b14backed Cavaliers71c140,750$100,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,258.942665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Cavaliers65c117,400$76,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,233.92,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Pacers28c75,141$21,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,039.3826253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdaa…8420backed Pacers37c75,103$27,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,7881435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Pacers13c52,037$6,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,764.7818518.4%34 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Cavaliers62c50,000$31,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,90037557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Pacers14c49,690$7,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,112.814856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Cavaliers67c46,401$30,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,408.62,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Pacers31c46,105$14,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,065.3159653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Cavaliers63c40,000$25,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,799.9917354.3%94 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Cavaliers62c39,934$24,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,335.821,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd52…0001backed Cavaliers66c38,058$25,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,939.721662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Cavaliers66c38,000$25,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,92034062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Cavaliers69c35,000$24,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,849.9938248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Cavaliers68c33,394$22,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,670.662,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Pacers13c30,626$3,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,856.0834227.2%93 W · 249 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers63c30,457$19,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,330.229,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Pacers33c29,254$9,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,569.052,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Cavaliers65c28,411$18,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,953.2444459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Pacers32c25,615$8,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,196.9120055%110 W · 90 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee8f…18e1backed Cavaliers67c25,367$16,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,371.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Cavaliers63c25,000$15,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,25012334.1%42 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Cavaliers62c24,295$15,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,232.284452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Pacers0c22,835$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1864517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers69c22,582$15,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,902.485,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pacers15c21,314$3,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,228.431,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6be6…2006backed Cavaliers64c21,094$13,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,593.752580%20 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Pacers27c20,835$5,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,625.4559646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ddd…39eebacked Cavaliers73c20,584$15,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,557.5622542.2%95 W · 130 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Pacers30c20,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4297…ea39backed Pacers34c20,000$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,799.961421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pacers10c18,738$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.431,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Cavaliers62c16,000$9,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0805850%29 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb84…08a9backed Cavaliers72c15,273$11,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,264.065139.2%20 W · 31 L-9.3wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-34.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Cavaliers62c15,132$9,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,710.147957%45 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Pacers30c14,999$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.841,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed Pacers15c14,722$2,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,177.371241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers33c14,500$4,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,849.944,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pacers10c12,809$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.3981529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cavaliers61c12,000$7,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6802,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Cavaliers62c11,900$7,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,56727747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Cavaliers63c11,111$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,111.0727251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x809c…84b9backed Cavaliers63c11,000$6,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,070540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Pacers33c10,917$3,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,602.551,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Pacers30c10,757$3,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,246.835547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Pacers6c10,414$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.781,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Pacers0c10,284$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.98820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x390a…1328backed Pacers34c10,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,400742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+77.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8049…8f36backed Pacers30c10,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001323.1%3 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Pacers32c9,652$3,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,053.5248944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Pacers28c9,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.9646928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0e9f…e074backed Pacers34c8,991$3,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,017.1862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+34.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Pacers36c8,926$3,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,213.217554.9%96 W · 79 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd71a…9498backed Pacers32c8,129$2,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,601.2714549%71 W · 74 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc894…1d84backed Pacers33c8,000$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,64010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked Cavaliers69c7,000$4,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1703455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pacers31c6,696$2,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,061.463,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Pacers30c6,667$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00017250%86 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Pacers12c6,400$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73616942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x740f…9c42backed Cavaliers68c6,300$4,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,016560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Cavaliers66c6,056$3,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,058.8861851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Pacers31c5,500$1,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,72514245.1%64 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ec9…8861backed Cavaliers66c5,075$3,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,725.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbc3…2065backed Pacers34c5,062$1,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,72110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Pacers37c5,000$1,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,848.2131445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Cavaliers63c5,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,85021951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Pacers37c5,000$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.9931044.8%139 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Pacers28c4,885$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.6526038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Pacers31c4,500$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,39518142%76 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Pacers32c4,464$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.4817250%86 W · 86 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Pacers30c4,384$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.294951.3%487 W · 462 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ccc…7e7cbacked Pacers38c4,281$1,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,626.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb99b…8b67backed Cavaliers68c4,100$2,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a90…7bf8backed Cavaliers63c4,050$2,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.59260.9%56 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7ac…0a7abacked Pacers33c4,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-44.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d0…673fbacked Pacers37c4,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4801136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+57.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf67…eee6backed Cavaliers69c4,000$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2405457.4%31 W · 23 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5064…3ba3backed Pacers31c4,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.955242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Cavaliers77c3,912$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.857353.4%39 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Pacers11c3,768$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.181,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Cavaliers68c3,500$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.9878445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Cavaliers69c3,333$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.2328850.3%145 W · 143 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Cavaliers64c3,162$2,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.765455.6%30 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x194f…3d95backed Cavaliers68c3,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96013345.9%61 W · 72 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Pacers38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14016446.3%76 W · 88 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Pacers27c3,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9495641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pacers19c2,865$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.412,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7656…9bbdbacked Cavaliers74c2,762$2,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a38…3ddcbacked Cavaliers63c2,720$1,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Pacers31c2,660$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.8612843.8%56 W · 72 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf19d…5a1ebacked Pacers26c2,632$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.3230%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f6…db09backed Cavaliers74c2,522$1,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.72825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-57.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa83b…0e4abacked Cavaliers64c2,500$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9007050%35 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed Cavaliers63c2,480$1,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.2727758.8%163 W · 114 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.