NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x074404f6b20ffc59969763c94ade3df8d237fe6f686b490d0b8e89985c5f222d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Under | 48c | 15,165$7,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,247.53 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Over | 49c | 11,111$5,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,666.61 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 8,327$4,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,191.5 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 52c | 7,397$3,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,553.55 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Over | 52c | 5,036$2,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.28 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Under | 51c | 2,244$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.59 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 53c | 1,695$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.32 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 47c | 1,451$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.12 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 51c | 1,246$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.41 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 52c | 580$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 562$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.62 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 49c | 555$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.7 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Over | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Over | 52c | 503.6$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.73 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 237 | 48.1%114 W · 123 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Under | 47c | 289.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.9 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -6.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 52c | 253$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.56 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfe…64eebacked Under | 49c | 206$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068f…4594backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…e35bbacked Over | 52c | 184$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…e907backed Over | 52c | 165$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb198…cd91backed Under | 49c | 158$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab9…d6d7backed Over | 52c | 141$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Under | 52c | 138.15$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.84 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35d5…3d73backed Under | 49c | 126$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a82…b6bdbacked Over | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 51c | 102$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Over | 51c | 100.14$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.7 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b1…2c4ebacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 52c | 82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf581…0892backed Over | 51c | 72.46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92b…f52abacked Over | 51c | 72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e6…224cbacked Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Under | 53c | 50.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…a0f2backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacdb…750fbacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2df…aadfbacked Over | 54c | 38.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…b151backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 38.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c2…6dd1backed Under | 49c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da9…64f9backed Under | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf19b…ba84backed Over | 53c | 31.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 50c | 27.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4e…dc93backed Under | 47c | 27.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 52c | 26.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 49c | 23.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8777…66d0backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. PacersCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.