TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Jets vs. Sabres

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sabresof Jets, Sabres
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$315,199
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$322,045

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $315,199 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 444 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6b4…a278backed Jets50c112,080$56,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,040.110349.5%51 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Sabres50c35,136$17,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,416.3488151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Jets23c30,000$6,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,90042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Sabres50c29,954$14,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,981.847951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed Sabres50c16,000$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,0003855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Jets0c15,020$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0218520.5%38 W · 147 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Sabres80c13,888$11,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,815.0830944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Sabres50c13,829$6,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,900.591,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Sabres50c12,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0006055%33 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Jets49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,899.9225449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Jets50c9,338$4,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,645.4210352.4%54 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Jets49c7,960$3,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,900.5330152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sabres50c6,250$3,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1251,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Sabres50c6,250$3,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1251,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa248…68debacked Jets50c5,600$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1af5…c5bbbacked Sabres50c5,600$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Jets49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.91,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Sabres50c4,832$2,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,415.7627548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Sabres50c4,800$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40052050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Jets49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00028152%146 W · 135 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Jets49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00029651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Sabres51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9608134.6%28 W · 53 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Jets49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.9986649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Sabres51c3,750$1,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,837.4851045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Sabres50c3,456$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,728.1531654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Sabres51c3,333$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.1322546.2%104 W · 121 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Sabres50c2,781$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,382.5397651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Sabres50c2,736$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.181,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Sabres50c2,512$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25632251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Sabres50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25023751.5%122 W · 115 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Sabres51c2,453$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.9661959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Jets50c2,400$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20025446.5%118 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Sabres50c2,349$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.3954047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb322…2179backed Sabres51c2,255$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.93043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sabres66c2,103$1,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.382,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Sabres50c2,027$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.1583652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a13…db82backed Sabres50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0007948.1%38 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Sabres50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00028652.4%150 W · 136 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc352…2ccbbacked Sabres50c1,920$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.11977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+57.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Jets38c1,823$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70027044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Jets49c1,600$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.9868449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Sabres50c1,560$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78015954.1%86 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdab9…068cbacked Jets50c1,560$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe754…55c1backed Sabres51c1,560$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Jets48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.977338.4%28 W · 45 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Sabres50c1,499$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.7663249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1c…38fbbacked Sabres50c1,430$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8131…7ec6backed Sabres50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7001070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+27%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Sabres50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70034845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Sabres50c1,396$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.551,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31b5…746fbacked Jets50c1,390$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Sabres50c1,300$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6501,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Jets1c1,290$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.382043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce2e…d21fbacked Jets50c1,290$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Jets50c1,286$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.769850%49 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x670e…1986backed Sabres51c1,250$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Sabres50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60011849.2%58 W · 60 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Jets48c1,177$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.9532946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Sabres50c1,152$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57887447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Sabres53c1,138$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.821,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sabres56c1,010$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.571,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Jets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Jets50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50043743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe99…7086backed Jets50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e2…d885backed Sabres50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Sabres50c972$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4861,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe29…1c8fbacked Sabres50c970.2$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.12470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+29.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5580…d614backed Jets50c922$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6013…25b1backed Jets50c920$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3860…b85cbacked Jets50c918$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7db…2a56backed Jets50c918$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x877e…ed29backed Jets50c918$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee64…1307backed Jets50c910$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e12…ababbacked Sabres51c903.92$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0892…5be3backed Sabres51c901.96$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Jets50c900$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45024347.7%116 W · 127 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf4d…654fbacked Sabres51c900$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c31…0d00backed Sabres51c900$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4412100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7606…5a75backed Sabres51c900$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Sabres50c884.76$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.012,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42fa…6ec3backed Jets51c884.31$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4511266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x232a…3965backed Sabres50c883.92$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.961553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ddb…75debacked Jets51c880$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda74…0aa3backed Sabres52c850$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4081353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Sabres50c841.31$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.6669550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Sabres50c820$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41053050.6%268 W · 262 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x128f…c388backed Jets49c820$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.81752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Jets50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40024945.4%113 W · 136 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d8a…15a3backed Jets50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-40.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe1a8…6d3abacked Sabres50c790$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a1b…b97abacked Jets50c790$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffb8…ba87backed Jets51c780$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Jets22c775.59$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.917838.5%30 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x923d…dea6backed Jets49c770$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.31323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.26per pick49cpaid-52.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Jets50c768$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38420047.5%95 W · 105 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d56…9aa6backed Jets50c749.65$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05a1…6b32backed Sabres52c740$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.21457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Sabres50c708.96$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.2548452.3%253 W · 231 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Jets4c685.31$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4129412.9%38 W · 256 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Jets49c653.06$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32041248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.