TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Jets vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,336
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,893

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,336 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Over47c60,871$28,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,902.631,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Under52c22,274$11,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,691.5257453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under53c17,657$9,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,300.5888151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Over48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40030447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c4,821$2,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,329.662,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Under53c4,453$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,092.7110448.1%50 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under52c3,901$2,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,876.5622150.2%111 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Under53c3,333$1,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.5122546.2%104 W · 121 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under52c2,218$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.6628652.4%150 W · 136 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc60f…9ea3backed Under53c2,180$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.585641.1%23 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under51c1,446$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.351,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Over50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70030946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Under52c1,200$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.828536.5%31 W · 54 L-11.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Under53c740.05$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.8269550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Under53c600.1$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.8830152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60a4…5214backed Under53c517.17$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.07250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c510$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.862951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb428…13bfbacked Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505240.4%21 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over48c499.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under52c499.95$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.9775946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Under51c414.09$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.927548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Under53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18811849.2%58 W · 60 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc89d…5909backed Over48c316$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8411254.5%61 W · 51 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under52c306$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.8837649.7%187 W · 189 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Over48c270.83$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13011354%61 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under52c230.77$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.771,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Over48c230.34$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6549053.7%263 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6125…fb3abacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002958.6%17 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+27.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10049546.5%230 W · 265 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50bb…9aa6backed Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967245.8%33 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6830447.4%144 W · 160 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6812756.7%72 W · 55 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5f9f…c934backed Over48c184.87$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4621454.2%116 W · 98 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under52c183.98$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9379251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under53c168$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.141,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a8a…b155backed Under52c144.23$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.239758.8%57 W · 40 L+10.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+23.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x205f…0189backed Over48c143.75$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6915347.7%73 W · 80 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under52c135$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.858346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked Over49c133.93$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658447.6%40 W · 44 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under52c111.54$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5427150.2%136 W · 135 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4859950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0338…4f11backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495742.1%24 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4734653.2%184 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x591a…aec2backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4813644.9%61 W · 75 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49ab…f2a9backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4819844.4%88 W · 110 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under52c96.61$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1447944.7%214 W · 265 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Under52c90$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.29853.1%52 W · 46 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under52c90$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.260549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under52c86.68$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6148149.3%237 W · 244 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over53c85$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4528549.1%140 W · 145 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed Over48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013751.1%70 W · 67 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5cc…6bb9backed Over48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46a0…f721backed Over49c79.59$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398646.5%40 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c66.28$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.352,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.829147.4%138 W · 153 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.821648.1%104 W · 112 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52bd…1a8abacked Over48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.89055.6%50 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.841851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.847249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Over65c60$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.142254.3%229 W · 193 L+18.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under52c54$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9226448.9%129 W · 135 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under52c54$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9227148.7%132 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Over49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.541847.8%200 W · 218 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under52c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7510652.8%56 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Under52c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7521951.6%113 W · 106 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under52c44.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7520045.5%91 W · 109 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under53c43$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2128542.8%122 W · 163 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…638abacked Under52c42.31$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50c1…6c6cbacked Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013743.1%59 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9a7…b64dbacked Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209357%53 W · 40 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Over49c41.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4112650.8%64 W · 62 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b5…d6f8backed Over49c40.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.91136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dd3…8254backed Over49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.65848.3%28 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1bd…4f40backed Over48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3916552.7%87 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under52c39.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.119745.2%89 W · 108 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under52c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2826348.7%128 W · 135 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under50c35.6$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.872847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Over49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513246.2%61 W · 71 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.49352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.49548.4%46 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.423144.6%103 W · 128 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.419645.4%89 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.49952.5%52 W · 47 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.420447.5%97 W · 107 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.49053.3%48 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.414746.9%69 W · 78 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.49451.1%48 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.49550.5%48 W · 47 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.49852%51 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.417552%91 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Under52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.410250%51 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.419848.5%96 W · 102 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.419442.8%83 W · 111 L-12.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.49951.5%51 W · 48 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.419647.4%93 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.420942.6%89 W · 120 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.47554.7%41 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.418946%87 W · 102 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.