TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Spread: Alabama (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oklahomaof Alabama, Oklahoma
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$305,176
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$306,497

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,176 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd38b…5029backed Oklahoma51c102,736$51,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,768.4332745.6%149 W · 178 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed Alabama49c96,226$47,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,313.135750.9%29 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Oklahoma51c81,264$41,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,169.65745.6%26 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Alabama50c67,177$33,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,305.6293548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c57…c94dbacked Alabama49c51,270$25,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,122.522759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Alabama50c32,901$16,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,302.4152449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Oklahoma51c30,000$15,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,699.9811846.6%55 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Oklahoma51c28,005$14,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,802.59540%38 W · 57 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Alabama49c16,692$8,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,246.2781847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Oklahoma51c16,000$8,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,84010046%46 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Alabama48c12,086$5,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,857.72,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Oklahoma51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9003542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Oklahoma51c9,930$5,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,865.937545.3%34 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Alabama49c6,200$3,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,03615352.3%80 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Alabama50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50039954.1%216 W · 183 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Oklahoma52c4,500$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16038546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Oklahoma51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47017837.6%67 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2900…af64backed Alabama49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Oklahoma51c2,143$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.144738.3%18 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Alabama49c1,617$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.4810445.2%47 W · 57 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d6d…1ba1backed Oklahoma51c1,176$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.473745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Alabama49c1,087$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.8265945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Oklahoma52c1,053$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.3911541.7%48 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed Oklahoma51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4904551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe584…e6e2backed Oklahoma51c862.31$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.534770.2%33 W · 14 L+8.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+35.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa727…8289backed Alabama50c782$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3914746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Oklahoma51c647.06$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.065345.3%24 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Oklahoma51c622.73$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.7524436.9%90 W · 154 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Oklahoma50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30010848.1%52 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec30…f1aabacked Oklahoma50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Oklahoma51c555$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.956949.3%34 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ba…8497backed Alabama48c520$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.63839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x250e…e864backed Alabama49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+40%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x258b…7859backed Alabama2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Oklahoma52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24012450.8%63 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaabc…a190backed Oklahoma53c452.83$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.831631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-45.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd368…1889backed Oklahoma51c450$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.56241.9%26 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Alabama48c411$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.7730548.9%149 W · 156 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Alabama46c401.04$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.0763243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8be…c8d1backed Oklahoma52c400$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1941233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5754…e515backed Oklahoma52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.622352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Alabama48c376.01$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.4858850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa04…72f4backed Alabama49c369.34$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.75825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-41.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Oklahoma51c341.47$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.4126846.3%124 W · 144 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Oklahoma52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1443650%18 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd5c…8ae8backed Alabama50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+41.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Oklahoma50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15013253.8%71 W · 61 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Alabama49c292.45$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.34551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3427…005dbacked Oklahoma53c275.13$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.511154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Oklahoma50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1257447.3%35 W · 39 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Oklahoma50c249.1$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.981,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Oklahoma51c222$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.787143.7%31 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46ed…cfa6backed Alabama49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Alabama49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987660.5%46 W · 30 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked Oklahoma52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Oklahoma50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004845.8%22 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Alabama49c193.38$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.821866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Alabama49c183.67$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9030253%160 W · 142 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Alabama50c182.43$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.47357.5%42 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Alabama47c177$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6256844.5%253 W · 315 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x258e…d16cbacked Alabama50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7517450%87 W · 87 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd10…f782backed Alabama49c131.29$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.333154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…604ebacked Oklahoma56c130$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.35556.4%31 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf08…9f3fbacked Alabama47c127.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ac…a025backed Alabama52c126.17$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28a8…57d5backed Alabama48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50bb…9aa6backed Oklahoma51c110$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.98142%34 W · 47 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7eb7…8d07backed Alabama50c109.14$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.571154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b79…3c8cbacked Alabama49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502552%13 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf35…b327backed Alabama49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505743.9%25 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d4b…a250backed Oklahoma52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0078…bca0backed Alabama51c92.1$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.974647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed57…e0a0backed Oklahoma51c52.54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.947847.4%37 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a8a…b155backed Alabama49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255641.1%23 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Oklahoma52c51$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4834250.3%172 W · 170 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6079…81c6backed Alabama49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf63…b05bbacked Oklahoma51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.61553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9efd…30babacked Oklahoma53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.741573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+36.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd13c…8938backed Oklahoma53c28.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…b4e6backed Oklahoma53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.32564%16 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Alabama49c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7454243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99af…fedcbacked Oklahoma51c25.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.41566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x006b…daa6backed Oklahoma52c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.67977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.27per pick50cpaid+58%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51b1…0a46backed Oklahoma50c21.98$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.975347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfea3…c0c3backed Alabama50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.